***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 31.12.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 04.01.2016.-31.01.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    26    74   100   37.8   43.5   51.7  144.3   83.3   73.9   19.3   31.6   36.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    34    66   100   34.0   45.3   49.9  147.4   84.7   73.1   20.6   28.5   33.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    33    67   100   49.5   59.7   53.3  142.1   83.9   73.4   28.0   39.2   50.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    32    68   100   51.2   55.1   56.8  131.6   76.6   67.9   34.6   41.6   50.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    31    69   100   50.5   59.2   59.9  135.3   81.8   70.2   27.9   42.2   48.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    30    70   100   41.0   43.2   59.4  132.2   76.5   67.5   17.6   32.0   39.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    30    70   100   33.8   43.3   48.8  147.1   83.6   72.6   21.3   26.5   33.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    35    65   100   68.1   71.2   61.4  132.9   76.4   69.0   33.2   57.2   65.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    29    71   100   40.8   47.5   60.6  134.1   80.6   69.8   21.9   28.5   42.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    32    68   100   51.2   63.4   63.4  133.0   78.8   69.5   24.2   33.0   45.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    34    66   100   44.8   52.0   56.0  134.7   78.7   69.7   18.1   31.4   42.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    39    61   100   45.0   55.1   54.0  133.2   76.8   68.0   20.0   29.3   42.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    38    62   100   49.4   62.6   57.9  135.4   79.7   68.8   20.2   27.9   46.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    36    64   100   63.9   72.1   64.7  135.6   80.4   70.8   37.3   51.4   59.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    37    63   100   45.8   52.0   54.9  134.6   76.3   68.8   19.1   33.6   44.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    38    62   100   43.9   51.8   55.2  134.0   78.2   68.7   16.6   31.1   47.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    33    67   100   35.8   53.0   49.0  151.0   85.6   73.2   18.1   24.4   30.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    32    68   100   49.2   57.5   69.1  131.8   78.3   69.5   21.4   32.0   45.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    35    65   100   39.1   43.8   51.3  145.7   83.3   73.0   27.8   35.1   40.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    29    71   100   46.7   53.1   79.3  132.3   78.6   69.9   22.1   31.3   45.6   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    29    71   100   45.5   57.5   56.9  140.1   83.1   72.8   27.0   33.9   46.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    32    68   100   41.1   54.4   52.1  148.8   84.0   73.3   19.3   31.1   34.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    38    62   100   40.0   46.9   54.4  142.5   81.8   72.5   20.9   31.2   41.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    35    65   100   50.7   57.0   63.0  135.2   79.6   70.9   31.1   40.2   51.5   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    23    77   100   50.0   57.6   60.1  142.3   83.2   74.2   29.1   36.4   44.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    40    60   100   35.6   44.3   56.1  136.1   78.1   68.4   15.1   22.4   35.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    23    77   100   40.5   45.5   55.8  142.0   82.8   73.3   24.8   33.5   37.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100   40.8   47.8   54.4  129.8   74.5   66.5   15.7   24.6   43.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    32    68   100   78.6   91.3   73.0  131.3   76.2   69.6   39.4   50.7   63.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    33    67   100   39.1   45.3   50.1  145.4   83.8   73.2   22.4   31.8   39.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------