***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 31.12.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 18.01.2016.-24.01.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    36    64   100   -0.9   -1.2   -1.6    1.6   66.9   61.5   -3.5   -2.3   -1.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    39    61   100   -1.7   -1.8   -1.6    1.8   68.5   62.8   -3.9   -3.0   -1.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100    0.4   -0.4   -1.9    1.7   65.4   63.1   -2.7   -1.3   -0.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   -5.1   -5.1   -5.2    1.8   62.3   62.1   -8.7   -5.7   -5.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    76    24   100   -2.4   -2.4   -5.0    1.7   60.9   60.6   -4.1   -2.8   -2.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   -3.1   -3.2   -6.6    1.5   61.0   59.4   -5.0   -3.6   -2.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    40    60   100   -1.7   -1.2   -1.5    1.8   69.0   62.7   -4.2   -3.4   -1.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100   -6.4   -6.1   -6.2    1.3   60.4   58.0   -9.1   -6.9   -5.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    37    63   100   -0.9   -1.2   -4.0    1.6   60.7   60.0   -3.3   -2.6   -1.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   -2.1   -2.3   -5.3    1.5   61.7   58.7   -3.8   -2.6   -1.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   -2.6   -2.2   -5.5    1.6   59.1   59.8   -4.0   -3.1   -1.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    79    21   100   -3.2   -2.6   -5.5    1.6   60.1   59.7   -4.4   -3.6   -2.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100   -2.8   -2.0   -5.8    1.6   61.8   59.7   -4.2   -3.4   -1.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    39    61   100   -0.8   -0.9   -3.5    2.0   67.9   63.3   -3.3   -2.0   -1.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100   -2.1   -2.2   -4.3    1.8   59.2   62.0   -4.2   -2.5   -1.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100   -1.8   -1.7   -5.9    1.7   60.5   60.0   -3.6   -2.2   -1.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    39    61   100   -1.9   -1.7   -1.4    1.8   68.3   62.9   -5.0   -3.1   -2.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    75    25   100   -3.8   -3.2   -5.6    1.6   63.6   58.8   -5.4   -4.4   -3.2   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    39    61   100   -1.7   -1.5   -1.7    1.8   67.5   63.3   -4.5   -3.2   -1.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    53    47     0   100   -9.0   -6.4   -7.5    1.0   57.4   54.9   -9.3   -7.2   -5.4   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    36    64   100   -0.9   -2.2   -2.7    1.6   61.6   61.4   -3.9   -2.6   -1.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100   -2.9   -2.1   -1.5    1.7   67.1   62.7   -4.2   -3.4   -2.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    38    62   100   -1.5   -1.2   -2.1    1.8   67.8   64.3   -4.4   -2.8   -1.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    37    63   100   -1.7   -2.2   -3.8    1.8   64.6   62.2   -4.4   -3.1   -2.1   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    37    63   100   -1.3   -1.6   -3.7    1.8   65.8   62.0   -3.2   -2.6   -1.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100   -2.9   -2.6   -5.5    1.7   59.8   60.8   -4.6   -3.5   -1.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    38    62   100   -1.2   -1.4   -2.6    1.7   65.8   61.4   -3.2   -2.8   -1.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100   -2.7   -2.6   -5.1    1.7   59.9   61.5   -5.6   -3.3   -2.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    52    48     0   100   -6.3   -3.8   -6.3    1.4   62.4   57.7   -5.8   -4.4   -3.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    39    61   100   -1.3   -1.0   -1.5    1.8   67.6   62.6   -4.0   -2.8   -1.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------