***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 27.12.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.01.2019.-27.01.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100    7.9   13.1   14.1  140.5   71.8   59.7    2.4    6.0   11.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    79    21   100    6.2   11.7   13.5  147.8   75.5   60.5    2.4    4.6    9.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    77    23   100   10.7   14.1   13.3  136.5   72.0   58.9    3.7    8.6   12.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    52    48     0   100    4.4   12.4   13.6  127.9   68.1   56.9    3.8    7.7   11.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100    4.7   11.8   13.2  121.3   67.8   54.4    3.6    8.7   11.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    6.7    6.9   11.3  100.3   59.5   50.4    2.8    4.9    8.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100    6.2   12.7   13.7  152.8   75.7   61.7    1.0    4.3    8.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   12.5   14.1   15.3  123.1   67.3   53.0    5.4   10.7   14.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    53    47     0   100    3.6   10.0   13.7  120.0   65.9   54.5    3.0    6.7   10.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100    4.0   11.7   14.5  118.2   64.8   53.2    3.0    6.6   12.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100    6.5   10.1   12.6  115.3   66.3   52.5    3.5    4.6   10.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100    3.0   10.0   12.8  115.8   66.4   51.8    2.9    5.1    9.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100    3.5    9.1   12.2  105.7   61.8   50.4    4.1    6.6    9.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    77    23   100   15.4   21.1   15.9  126.8   70.9   55.7    9.3   13.1   19.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    52    48     0   100    2.0   10.9   13.1  129.8   69.0   57.2    1.0    4.1    9.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    55    45     0   100    2.6    7.0   12.0  110.6   63.5   51.8    2.8    5.4    8.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100    6.8   11.5   13.7  153.0   76.4   62.8    1.4    5.2    9.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100    4.4   11.4   16.4  125.5   68.0   54.4    5.5    7.4   11.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    79    21   100    8.2   11.5   13.2  141.1   73.8   59.4    2.6    6.6   10.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100    9.6   11.8   24.1  141.3   73.6   54.9    4.0    8.8   10.2   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100    8.0   10.6   13.6  129.1   69.2   57.1    3.6    6.6   10.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100    8.0   12.8   13.6  143.9   73.7   61.0    2.6    6.7   10.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100    8.9   12.1   13.3  132.9   73.0   58.1    3.1    7.5   10.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   12.1   18.7   15.0  128.2   70.5   56.1    5.8    9.8   17.6   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    37    63   100   11.0   10.9   15.3  137.5   69.5   59.9    3.4    7.7   10.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    53    47     0   100    2.1    7.6   12.7  112.6   64.5   53.1    2.6    4.3    7.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100    7.9   10.6   14.9  140.4   70.9   60.0    2.9    6.1    8.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    53    47     0   100    1.5    6.4   12.1  119.0   64.8   54.7    1.5    3.0    6.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    8.7   23.1   19.0  132.3   71.4   55.0    7.4   14.8   20.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100    6.7   12.6   13.5  144.8   74.8   60.0    1.2    4.5   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------