***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 24.12.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.01.2021.-17.01.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    55    45     0   100    0.5    1.4   10.9  101.0   56.2   50.4    0.1    1.2    1.6   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    78    22   100    2.7    2.7   10.3  108.5   61.5   53.2    0.3    1.1    3.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00    52    48     0   100    0.8    2.7   10.8  100.9   57.4   50.4    0.7    1.5    3.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    54    46     0   100    2.2    4.5   12.6  104.7   58.8   52.1    2.5    3.8    4.8   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    58    42     0   100    1.3    4.6   12.6  100.4   56.8   50.7    1.4    3.1    5.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100    3.1    2.7   12.3  115.0   64.4   54.0    0.5    1.4    2.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100    2.6    2.9   10.2  109.2   63.4   53.5    0.3    0.9    4.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100    1.9    5.5   13.7  107.3   60.5   50.9    1.6    3.5    7.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    57    43     0   100    0.9    2.5   12.9   96.8   55.2   49.2    0.7    2.0    4.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    54    46     0   100    1.7    4.4   13.7  101.8   57.3   50.4    0.5    3.8    6.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100    1.1    3.5   12.5  103.6   58.4   50.7    0.4    2.3    4.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    75    25   100    3.7    2.3   12.4  110.2   62.3   50.9    0.5    2.0    2.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    53    47     0   100    0.9    4.1   13.1  112.6   62.9   52.5    0.9    1.7    5.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100    1.8    4.5   13.2   98.8   56.1   50.3    1.3    3.9    7.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    54    46     0   100    0.7    2.8   11.3  102.5   61.5   51.4    0.5    1.5    5.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100    0.8    2.8   11.9  103.7   59.5   50.2    0.8    1.6    4.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100    2.8    3.2   10.3  111.0   64.3   54.5    0.4    1.5    3.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16    56    44     0   100    1.3    3.9   14.1  101.8   56.9   50.4    1.5    2.8    5.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    78    22   100    3.2    2.4   10.4  106.7   59.1   52.5    0.3    1.2    3.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100    1.7    5.0   17.8  105.6   60.9   51.7    1.4    3.3    5.4   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    56    44     0   100    1.2    3.0   12.1   98.2   54.0   49.7    1.1    2.7    3.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100    2.3    2.3   10.7  109.8   61.5   54.3    0.1    1.4    3.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    51    49     0   100    0.5    1.5   10.7  103.2   56.0   51.6    0.3    0.9    3.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    56    44     0   100    1.8    4.4   12.6   98.8   55.7   49.7    1.4    3.8    6.8   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100    0.9    2.2   12.7  101.1   55.4   50.7    0.5    1.8    4.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100    2.4    3.5   12.9  117.9   63.3   52.4    0.6    1.2    4.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    53    47     0   100    0.8    1.8   11.6  101.5   57.1   50.8    0.3    1.7    3.4   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15    55    45     0   100    1.0    3.1   11.5  104.2   60.2   51.9    0.8    1.8    3.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    54    46     0   100    2.8    7.3   15.1  103.1   58.2   50.6    2.8    5.6    8.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100    2.7    1.5   10.4  105.8   59.7   52.4    0.3    1.1    1.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------