***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 24.12.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 28.12.2015.-03.01.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    82    18     0   100    2.6    3.2    3.5   34.2   32.1   25.3    3.9   10.7   14.4   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    70    30     0   100    2.3    5.1    4.0   44.9   41.4   31.1    3.7    7.8   10.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00    79    21     0   100    4.2    5.7    3.6   34.7   31.4   25.4    7.2   12.4   16.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    78    22     0   100    3.0    7.0    5.7   47.3   35.9   28.6    6.7   11.1   17.1   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    83    17     0   100    3.5    5.1    4.2   34.4   25.9   23.3    7.3   10.5   14.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    81    19     0   100    3.1    4.2    4.2   40.4   33.7   25.9    4.2    7.8   11.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    72    28     0   100    3.0    6.7    4.2   46.9   42.4   32.7    3.6    9.1   12.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    86    14     0   100    6.9    6.8    4.1   33.4   23.7   21.7    7.3   10.9   18.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    87    13     0   100    1.8    1.2    3.9   32.0   23.5   22.1    4.0    7.6    9.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    87    13     0   100    2.2    1.6    4.3   34.2   23.2   22.2    5.2    9.4   12.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    87    13     0   100    2.9    7.3    3.9   35.4   27.1   24.1    8.3    9.9   10.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    88    12     0   100    2.8    5.7    3.6   33.6   26.4   21.6    6.9    9.1   10.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    84    16     0   100    3.1    2.7    3.7   34.3   24.9   22.7    4.5   10.8   13.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    80    20     0   100    4.4    6.7    4.4   33.5   28.9   23.1    7.9   10.3   14.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    69    31     0   100    2.5    6.3    6.4   53.2   43.4   32.8    2.0    7.9   12.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    83    17     0   100    2.1    3.8    3.8   35.1   29.4   23.6    5.3   10.0   13.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    64    36     0   100    3.6    7.4    4.2   48.8   44.5   33.6    4.1    8.1   12.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16    86    14     0   100    1.9    2.6    4.6   32.8   22.4   20.0    4.2    7.4   10.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    71    29     0   100    2.5    5.6    3.9   42.1   38.8   28.7    4.9    6.9   12.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    86    14     0   100    3.1    3.3    4.8   28.6   19.4   17.8    6.8    9.5   12.9   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    84    16     0   100    2.8    2.9    3.6   31.8   24.2   21.9    5.0    9.0   13.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    68    32     0   100    2.7    5.2    4.3   47.6   42.4   29.9    3.7    6.0   10.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    77    23     0   100    2.8    2.5    3.9   37.6   34.6   26.2    2.5    7.1   11.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    83    17     0   100    3.6    3.8    4.2   33.4   24.6   22.3    8.3    9.8   12.0   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    75    25     0   100    3.8    5.9    4.5   35.8   31.7   24.6    6.2   11.3   14.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    89    11     0   100    2.3    3.6    3.5   31.4   21.9   22.2    5.5    7.3    8.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    77    23     0   100    3.0    7.0    4.1   36.6   32.1   25.9    7.1   10.1   13.4   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15    75    25     0   100    2.6    4.4    5.6   47.7   39.0   29.6    3.4    7.7   11.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    86    14     0   100    5.8    5.8    4.7   31.9   21.9   19.6    8.3   13.6   16.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    73    27     0   100    2.0    6.0    3.9   41.8   39.2   29.5    3.3    6.8   10.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------