***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 24.12.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 04.01.2016.-10.01.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    43    57   100    7.2    6.2    4.8    2.3   64.6   64.6    0.1    3.2    6.4   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    41    59   100    6.3    5.9    4.9    2.7   66.0   66.7    0.3    2.7    5.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    44    56   100    8.0    7.8    5.0    2.5   64.1   65.9    2.7    4.2    8.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    40    60   100    3.6    2.4    3.0    2.6   68.0   67.0   -2.0    0.4    2.1   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    40    60   100    7.2    6.7    3.4    2.5   67.1   66.3    1.8    4.1    6.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    33    67   100    7.4    5.8    2.9    2.5   67.9   67.3    1.2    4.7    5.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    43    57   100    5.8    4.9    4.8    2.6   65.1   66.5    0.0    3.0    5.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    35    65   100    1.6    0.8    3.2    2.5   69.3   68.2   -2.0   -0.5    0.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    42    58   100    8.2    8.3    4.2    2.4   66.8   65.7    2.7    4.8    8.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    37    63   100    7.1    6.5    3.8    2.5   68.0   66.9    1.5    3.8    5.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    40    60   100    7.7    6.6    3.4    2.5   68.3   67.3    1.8    4.4    6.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    39    61   100    8.5    7.8    3.4    2.5   68.3   67.9    1.8    5.7    7.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    39    61   100    7.6    6.6    3.0    2.4   66.4   67.1    1.4    4.9    6.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    39    61   100    8.7    9.7    4.8    2.7   68.9   67.0    2.2    4.9    9.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    36    64   100    6.5    7.0    3.4    2.7   68.0   68.5    1.1    2.9    6.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    39    61   100    8.5    7.1    3.1    2.5   67.5   67.1    2.4    5.6    6.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    39    61   100    5.9    5.5    4.9    2.7   67.6   66.9    0.0    2.7    5.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    37    63   100    4.0    3.7    3.8    2.5   68.0   67.1    0.4    2.6    3.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    40    60   100    7.4    7.1    5.1    2.7   66.0   66.6    0.9    2.9    7.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    31    69   100    4.5    4.2    2.5    2.5   70.7   68.4   -0.9    1.9    3.6   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    43    57   100    8.0    7.6    4.5    2.4   65.7   65.1    2.4    4.5    7.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    35    65   100    7.2    7.0    5.1    2.8   68.5   67.4    0.2    2.8    6.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    37    63   100    6.4    6.3    5.2    2.7   66.5   66.6    1.7    3.1    6.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    41    59   100    8.9    9.4    4.6    2.6   65.1   66.6    3.0    5.3    9.4   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    40    60   100    6.2    5.6    3.5    2.3   65.7   65.0    1.2    3.5    5.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    41    59   100    6.5    5.4    2.8    2.2   64.6   66.4    2.9    4.0    5.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    44    56   100    7.7    7.6    4.1    2.2   65.0   64.4    2.3    4.5    7.6   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100    7.3    8.3    3.3    2.7   68.6   67.8    1.4    3.0    7.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    36    64   100    5.6    4.8    3.3    2.5   67.9   67.3    0.8    2.9    4.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    43    57   100    6.4    6.0    4.9    2.6   64.8   66.2    0.4    3.2    6.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------