***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.12.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.01.2021.-17.01.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    27    73   100    6.7    6.3    5.5    2.0   67.2   64.0    2.0    3.7    5.7   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    30    70   100    6.1    5.5    5.5    2.0   67.7   64.2    1.0    3.5    5.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    27    73   100    7.7    6.8    5.9    2.0   67.7   63.1    1.9    4.4    6.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    33    67   100    2.4    1.9    2.9    2.0   69.0   62.9   -1.6   -0.1    1.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    27    73   100    6.6    6.1    3.9    1.9   66.6   62.1    2.1    3.9    6.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    5.3    5.2    3.2    1.7   61.3   61.4    2.3    4.7    5.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    30    70   100    5.3    5.4    5.5    2.1   68.3   65.2    0.9    2.8    4.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    30    70   100    2.2    1.6    3.5    1.6   65.6   61.4   -1.6    0.7    1.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    28    72   100    7.9    7.3    4.7    1.8   66.8   62.0    2.5    4.8    6.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    29    71   100    6.9    6.0    4.2    1.7   65.7   61.6    2.0    4.1    6.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    28    72   100    7.3    6.3    3.9    1.8   66.7   62.0    2.0    4.1    6.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    29    71   100    7.3    6.4    3.8    1.7   65.0   62.1    3.3    4.1    6.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100    5.1    5.6    3.3    1.7   62.9   62.3    2.2    4.4    6.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    32    68   100    8.3    6.3    5.2    1.7   64.5   60.0    2.8    4.7    6.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    33    67   100    6.7    7.1    3.8    2.2   71.1   64.0    2.2    4.2    6.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    35    65   100    7.3    7.0    3.5    1.7   65.3   62.1    2.8    4.7    7.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    30    70   100    5.0    5.7    5.6    2.0   68.0   64.8    0.7    2.5    5.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16    54    46     0   100    0.8    3.6    4.2    1.6   63.6   60.9    0.7    2.0    3.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    29    71   100    6.5    5.7    5.6    2.0   66.8   63.3    0.9    3.6    5.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100    1.9    2.0    2.6    1.5   63.5   60.7   -0.1    1.0    2.6   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    27    73   100    7.2    6.6    5.4    2.0   66.8   62.9    1.9    4.1    6.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    29    71   100    5.9    5.8    5.6    1.9   67.1   63.4    0.8    3.4    5.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    27    73   100    6.3    5.2    6.0    1.9   65.3   62.2    1.3    2.8    5.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    31    69   100    8.5    7.1    5.1    1.7   64.8   60.9    2.7    4.9    7.9   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    28    72   100    5.6    5.1    4.1    2.0   68.9   63.4    2.1    3.3    4.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    31    69   100    6.3    5.8    3.2    1.7   65.5   63.6    2.2    4.1    5.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    29    71   100    6.5    5.6    5.0    2.0   68.0   63.8    2.1    3.6    5.0   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    33    67   100    7.0    7.0    3.3    2.1   69.2   63.0    2.7    4.4    6.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    0.5    4.2    3.7    1.6   63.7   60.8   -0.3    2.6    4.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    29    71   100    6.0    5.3    5.4    2.0   67.9   64.1    0.8    3.4    4.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------