***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 10.12.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 28.12.2020.-03.01.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    80    20   100    5.5    6.2    4.9    0.9   56.8   56.6    1.8    4.9    6.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100    5.3    5.5    4.8    0.8   54.0   56.1    1.7    5.0    6.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    81    19   100    7.3    7.0    5.3    0.8   54.6   55.8    3.1    6.7    8.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    81    19   100    2.5    2.0    2.6    1.0   54.5   57.7   -2.4    1.9    3.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    81    19   100    5.8    5.7    3.7    1.0   55.0   57.7    2.6    5.0    7.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    5.0    4.8    3.3    0.9   57.7   57.9    1.7    3.9    6.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    79    21   100    5.4    5.2    4.9    0.9   54.5   57.0    1.5    5.0    6.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100    0.1    0.0    3.6    0.9   55.8   58.0   -2.2   -0.4    0.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    80    20   100    7.2    6.9    4.5    0.9   52.9   56.7    3.5    6.5    8.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    79    21   100    5.9    5.4    4.1    0.9   54.4   57.2    3.1    5.1    7.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100    5.9    5.7    3.8    1.1   55.7   58.5    3.3    4.9    7.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    79    21   100    6.0    6.9    3.8    1.0   56.3   59.3    3.1    5.1    8.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    78    22   100    5.6    6.1    3.5    1.1   59.2   60.5    2.5    4.4    7.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    81    19   100    7.7    7.4    5.1    0.8   52.4   55.1    4.2    7.2    8.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    82    18   100    5.1    4.7    3.2    0.8   52.3   56.3    2.0    4.7    5.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    80    20   100    6.4    7.2    3.5    1.1   58.2   59.4    2.6    5.4    8.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    81    19   100    4.6    4.7    4.9    0.8   54.9   55.9    1.4    4.3    5.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    81    19   100    3.3    3.2    4.3    0.9   54.9   57.2    0.8    2.5    5.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100    6.3    6.3    5.0    0.8   53.8   55.3    2.8    5.8    7.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    78    22   100    2.9    2.8    3.0    1.0   58.7   58.4   -1.5    2.3    4.1   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100    7.2    6.8    4.9    0.9   54.1   56.3    3.1    6.5    7.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    81    19   100    5.5    5.5    4.9    0.7   53.0   54.3    2.4    5.1    6.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    80    20   100    5.9    5.6    5.4    0.8   53.8   54.6    2.2    5.5    6.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    82    18   100    7.9    8.1    4.9    0.9   53.2   56.2    4.4    7.4    8.9   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100    4.8    5.1    3.7    0.9   57.1   57.1    2.1    4.4    6.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    37    63   100    7.1    5.1    3.4    1.1   59.6   61.5    1.9    4.5    6.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    82    18   100    7.0    7.5    4.6    0.9   57.4   57.1    2.3    6.3    8.6   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    82    18   100    6.4    6.2    2.9    0.9   53.9   56.9    3.6    6.0    6.9   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    80    20   100    2.3    1.9    3.9    0.9   55.6   57.6   -0.5    1.3    4.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    81    19   100    5.6    5.2    4.8    0.9   54.1   56.3    1.7    5.1    6.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------