***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 30.11.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 25.12.2017.-31.12.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100   11.1   12.1   12.2  110.2   63.4   50.9    3.8    8.1   12.2   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    51    49     0   100    4.6   16.7   11.4  123.0   67.5   55.6    5.3    8.3   15.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   14.0   18.1   12.3  114.3   64.8   51.1    6.5   11.0   18.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    55    45     0   100    5.3   12.8   13.4  109.3   62.9   50.4    4.5   10.4   13.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    76    24   100   12.8   16.7   13.6  112.2   63.6   50.2    6.6    9.6   17.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    9.1   10.0   11.0  105.6   59.8   52.7    4.5    7.6   11.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    52    48     0   100    4.6   17.3   11.0  118.5   68.0   55.2    4.5    8.6   16.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   15.2   21.0   14.2  116.8   66.4   53.0    6.4   12.1   20.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    53    47     0   100    3.1    9.8   14.2  112.7   65.3   50.5    2.7    5.7   10.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    4.0   11.6   14.6  114.5   65.6   51.9    5.0    7.4   11.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100   11.7   11.9   12.9  114.5   63.7   51.4    4.8    8.6   13.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    77    23   100    9.7   10.7   12.2  113.0   63.4   51.9    3.9    7.7   11.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    75    25   100    9.8   11.2   11.7  103.6   57.5   49.5    3.6    6.2   14.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    52    48     0   100    7.5   23.2   15.2  116.3   65.7   52.5    7.1   14.7   23.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100    9.8   11.8   14.6  121.6   66.5   54.9    2.8    6.3   11.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100    9.3   11.1   11.7  107.5   61.1   50.2    3.9    7.3   11.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100   10.9   11.4   11.4  127.6   69.9   57.3    6.6    7.7   10.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16    54    46     0   100    3.9   11.1   15.2  112.8   64.7   51.4    5.1    7.9   11.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   13.7   15.5   11.7  123.6   67.1   55.1    4.7    9.9   13.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    4.6   15.6   18.7  115.7   65.9   53.2    5.7    9.3   15.7   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100   11.6   13.4   13.0  108.9   63.7   49.6    6.6    9.9   14.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   12.4   15.5   12.3  134.1   71.7   58.3    3.9    9.3   13.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    80    20   100    9.7   12.8   12.4  121.0   65.9   54.2    5.1    8.0   12.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    52    48     0   100    4.9   16.6   14.0  113.2   65.2   51.1    7.7    9.1   16.8   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    54    46     0   100    5.7   15.5   13.4  104.8   60.0   49.1    7.1   11.9   17.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    8.4   10.4   11.7  110.5   62.0   51.5    3.0    6.7   10.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    76    24   100   13.6   11.7   12.7  107.5   60.9   50.7    3.8   10.4   12.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    51    49     0   100    2.9    9.4   12.8  110.4   63.5   51.9    3.9    5.4   12.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    55    45     0   100    7.9   17.7   16.4  113.9   65.3   51.9   10.0   12.8   18.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100   11.7   14.8   11.6  120.5   66.6   54.1    4.9    8.4   13.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------