***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 29.11.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 03.12.2012.-30.12.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    82    18   100 9999.0    0.0   59.8  114.2   62.0   59.6 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    81    19   100   38.0   45.0   57.2  117.4   64.9   60.9   21.6   33.3   45.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    83    17   100   43.7   60.3   61.0  117.9   66.7   62.4   30.9   38.9   59.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    30    70   100   60.8   59.8   71.5  129.8   73.2   68.8   31.8   49.3   55.3   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    35    65   100   61.5   64.7   68.9  126.7   72.5   67.7   34.4   43.8   55.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    28    72   100   52.0   56.5   71.4  135.8   77.2   72.7   29.6   37.8   47.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    82    18   100   42.4   48.2   56.5  116.8   64.2   60.4   21.2   37.4   49.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    33    67   100   72.7   77.8   74.5  128.7   76.0   69.9   50.6   60.0   67.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    31    69   100   47.0   48.6   67.7  124.4   70.9   67.2   26.8   32.5   44.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    33    67   100   52.9   55.5   72.6  127.6   75.1   69.5   36.9   42.0   47.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    34    66   100   54.3   57.7   66.9  129.8   74.4   69.7   35.2   40.9   48.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    31    69   100   53.9   58.2   67.3  127.3   73.7   69.1   35.3   41.7   51.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    31    69   100   59.9   67.0   71.6  131.5   77.1   72.4   38.7   42.8   58.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    45    55   100   67.1   62.2   70.3  118.0   68.0   63.8   47.4   56.0   61.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    32    68   100   64.5   70.7   74.1  129.4   72.2   67.6   28.5   45.4   64.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    34    66   100   59.3   68.4   68.2  131.6   75.4   71.1   27.3   39.8   55.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    82    18   100   38.5   45.6   54.5  116.1   65.1   60.1   27.3   33.3   46.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    31    69   100   53.4   58.8   76.9  124.2   73.7   68.1   35.4   39.5   45.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100   38.9   50.6   58.2  116.7   64.4   61.1   25.5   33.2   54.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    34    66   100   66.6   73.7   96.5  129.7   75.7   69.5   33.8   48.9   64.8   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    43    57   100   51.2   55.3   64.4  121.1   70.6   64.6   31.1   36.3   49.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    83    17   100   42.0   46.9   56.2  113.7   64.2   59.4   27.7   38.3   48.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    81    19   100   38.7   50.0   60.8  116.1   64.5   61.5   24.6   33.8   50.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    38    62   100   57.9   53.2   68.8  120.0   70.2   65.0   44.4   49.7   52.6   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    84    16   100   42.5   50.5   68.3  119.0   66.2   63.1   28.5   39.1   50.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    31    69   100   55.6   59.6   71.6  125.6   75.4   69.7   30.7   41.7   47.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    82    18   100   39.3   41.6   63.5  114.0   63.5   59.9   27.7   32.7   49.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    27    73   100   56.4   62.8   71.9  133.0   73.0   69.9   27.5   34.8   53.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    34    66   100   82.8   88.0   83.3  124.6   73.0   67.5   63.4   69.4   75.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    83    17   100   41.1   49.3   58.2  116.7   64.4   60.9   23.1   36.7   51.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------