***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 26.11.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.12.2020.-27.12.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    32    68   100   -0.4    0.2    0.4    3.0   75.4   71.1   -3.4   -1.7   -0.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    34    66   100    0.0    0.2    0.0    2.7   72.8   69.7   -3.6   -1.9   -0.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    34    66   100    1.7    2.4    0.3    2.9   75.8   71.3   -2.0   -0.6    1.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    30    70   100   -3.8   -3.1   -2.2    3.0   75.7   72.0   -7.7   -5.8   -5.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    32    68   100   -0.7   -0.7   -1.8    3.0   73.6   71.5   -3.5   -1.8   -1.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    20    80   100   -1.4   -1.0   -3.3    3.2   75.9   72.7   -5.2   -3.5   -1.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    34    66   100   -0.3    0.4    0.1    2.7   73.3   69.1   -4.2   -2.0   -0.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    26    74   100   -6.1   -5.6   -3.2    3.0   74.0   71.0   -9.0   -8.0   -6.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    33    67   100    0.1    0.8   -1.4    2.9   72.3   70.9   -2.9   -1.8   -0.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    28    72   100    0.0   -0.1   -2.7    2.9   72.6   70.5   -4.0   -1.6   -0.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    25    75   100   -0.2   -0.4   -2.1    3.1   74.2   72.5   -3.6   -2.0   -1.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    25    75   100   -0.9   -0.3   -2.5    3.3   75.8   72.7   -4.2   -2.9   -1.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    23    77   100   -0.4    0.1   -2.7    3.3   77.3   73.1   -4.5   -2.2   -0.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    35    65   100    0.8    0.5   -2.0    2.5   68.5   67.8   -2.9   -1.4    0.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    28    72   100   -1.2   -1.1   -1.3    2.7   75.3   71.3   -4.3   -2.9   -1.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    25    75   100    0.0    0.2   -2.5    3.2   75.7   72.9   -3.2   -1.7   -0.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    38    62   100   -0.5   -0.6    0.0    2.5   69.2   67.7   -3.5   -1.9   -1.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    29    71   100   -2.1   -2.0   -3.5    2.8   70.3   69.3   -5.5   -3.3   -2.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    32    68   100    0.0    0.4    0.0    2.7   73.9   70.4   -3.2   -1.8   -0.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    28    72   100   -4.3   -3.9   -4.3    2.9   72.3   69.4   -9.5   -6.8   -4.1   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    36    64   100   -0.2    0.3   -0.4    2.9   73.8   71.0   -3.0   -2.0   -0.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    35    65   100   -0.6   -0.5   -0.4    2.4   69.7   67.7   -3.2   -2.3   -0.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    34    66   100   -0.5   -0.2   -0.1    2.7   74.0   70.9   -2.9   -1.9   -0.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    33    67   100   -0.2   -0.3   -2.1    2.7   69.7   69.2   -3.6   -2.7   -0.3   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    40    60   100   -0.7   -0.2   -0.7    2.9   74.7   70.8   -3.0   -1.8   -0.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    22    78   100   -0.8   -0.2   -2.5    3.5   78.0   74.6   -3.8   -2.8   -1.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    36    64   100    0.8    1.6    0.1    3.0   75.1   70.7   -3.4   -1.4   -0.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    28    72   100   -1.6   -1.1   -2.2    2.9   75.5   71.7   -4.9   -3.3   -2.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    29    71   100   -3.0   -3.0   -3.7    2.8   70.0   69.1   -6.0   -5.2   -3.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    32    68   100    0.4    1.0    0.1    2.8   74.7   70.3   -3.5   -2.0    0.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------