***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 22.11.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 03.12.2012.-09.12.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    43    57   100 9999.0    0.0   16.4  130.2   73.5   65.7 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    81    19   100    9.7   11.2   15.5  123.0   65.8   61.9    2.7    8.5   11.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    44    56   100   13.2   17.7   16.3  130.1   74.7   66.1    2.4    6.9   16.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    41    59   100   15.4   15.1   18.7  140.2   73.3   67.5    4.6    7.7   11.9   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    37    63   100   15.1   15.9   16.9  132.3   69.6   65.0    3.9   11.3   15.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    84    16   100    6.7   11.5   19.1  135.4   66.1   63.5    1.0    5.6   11.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    39    61   100   12.0   10.6   15.5  123.4   66.3   61.1    3.9    7.6   10.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    82    18   100   11.6   16.9   17.9  122.5   66.4   60.9    4.9    9.2   16.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    38    62   100   12.3   10.1   16.0  124.7   68.5   62.0    2.1    7.7    9.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    81    19   100   10.0   15.8   17.0  122.6   67.2   61.1    3.2    8.2   15.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    38    62   100   11.8   11.8   16.2  130.7   69.7   63.4    1.9    6.1   10.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    81    19   100   10.7   15.0   16.4  125.8   67.2   61.4    1.9    7.8   15.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    86    14   100    8.2   11.7   18.2  133.7   65.2   62.8    3.4    6.1   11.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    38    62   100   20.1   18.5   18.5  126.9   71.1   63.8    4.2   12.0   15.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    37    63   100   16.8   17.3   20.8  147.7   74.1   69.7    0.9    4.0    8.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    81    19   100    8.2   10.4   17.0  133.6   69.8   63.6    2.3    5.8    9.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    81    19   100    9.7   13.1   14.9  119.3   61.6   58.6    4.3    7.9   14.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    84    16   100    9.4   14.0   18.7  119.3   66.3   60.2    2.8    8.0   14.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    43    57   100   13.5   15.2   15.7  124.4   67.3   63.1    3.0    7.4   15.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    86    14   100    8.8   11.4   25.3  126.2   68.0   62.1    3.7    6.7   11.3   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    84    16   100   11.0   14.2   16.0  127.2   69.5   63.9    5.4   10.0   13.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100   11.8   15.4   15.5  121.8   63.1   59.7    2.4    9.9   16.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    34    66   100   13.9   15.8   16.2  125.8   69.9   64.3    2.6    6.1   14.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    82    18   100   13.1   16.8   17.5  124.6   71.0   62.7    4.5   11.3   15.2   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    35    65   100   12.6   14.7   18.1  133.1   74.1   67.4    2.1    6.8   11.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    83    17   100    9.5   13.6   19.7  140.5   73.4   64.5    2.3    8.1   12.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    35    65   100   12.1   15.0   17.5  130.1   73.8   66.2    5.0    5.8   13.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100   13.9   10.1   19.0  142.2   73.2   67.7    0.4    4.0    7.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    83    17   100   12.1   17.5   21.2  121.3   67.6   60.5    7.1    9.6   17.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    40    60   100   11.1   12.7   15.8  125.7   69.5   63.8    4.5    6.4   12.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------