***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.11.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 09.12.2019.-15.12.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    57    43     0   100    2.1    8.2   13.7  108.9   63.4   49.4    2.3    3.8    9.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    57    43     0   100    2.6   10.1   11.6  100.4   61.3   48.7    2.0    4.4   10.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00    57    43     0   100    3.1    9.9   12.7  100.8   60.1   47.1    3.8    6.3   12.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    56    44     0   100    5.1    9.3   13.0   95.0   57.8   45.4    5.8    8.3   12.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    57    43     0   100    4.6    9.5   13.2  100.3   57.9   47.3    6.7    8.6   10.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    58    42     0   100    2.7    6.2   10.5   89.5   54.4   46.4    2.5    5.1   10.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    56    44     0   100    3.4    6.8   11.2   98.8   58.6   48.9    3.4    5.9   11.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    54    46     0   100    9.3   16.1   13.6  100.2   60.3   46.2   10.6   13.6   17.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    58    42     0   100    3.6    7.7   13.7  100.9   56.5   46.7    4.3    6.3    9.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    55    45     0   100    5.1   11.2   13.9  100.0   57.6   46.2    5.6    8.5   14.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    4.2   10.1   12.6  100.4   60.6   47.9    3.9    7.5   11.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100    4.7   11.3   12.2   99.1   59.7   47.1    5.3    7.6   12.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    56    44     0   100    4.7    8.5   12.0   97.3   58.9   47.6    4.3    8.1   11.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    54    46     0   100    6.8   14.4   14.7   97.2   56.4   46.6    6.7   11.8   18.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    62    38     0   100    2.6    8.9   10.6   73.6   54.2   39.3    1.6    6.1   11.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    56    44     0   100    3.2    8.5   12.0   99.5   60.6   48.4    3.5    5.8    9.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01    57    43     0   100    3.3    8.0   10.7   94.3   59.6   47.5    2.8    6.4   10.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16    58    42     0   100    5.0   10.5   14.8  101.5   58.3   46.2    5.4    8.1   12.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    56    44     0   100    4.0    9.4   11.7   98.9   60.6   47.9    2.8    7.4   12.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    58    42     0   100    6.5   12.8   18.2  102.8   60.8   45.1    5.5   12.1   13.4   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    60    40     0   100    3.9   10.0   13.4  102.5   58.9   47.1    3.8    8.1   11.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    57    43     0   100    4.2   11.0   11.5   95.5   58.3   47.2    4.2    8.8   13.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    56    44     0   100    4.2    9.4   11.8   94.6   57.7   46.2    5.0    7.8   11.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    55    45     0   100    5.1   14.0   13.9   98.9   58.5   46.4    6.0    8.4   18.8   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    53    47     0   100    3.6    9.2   15.2  110.1   62.1   49.5    3.3    5.8   10.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    59    41     0   100    4.3    9.9   11.5   92.0   56.8   45.6    5.5    8.9   12.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100    2.9    7.7   14.5  111.5   62.8   50.4    2.3    4.9   11.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    58    42     0   100    3.0    7.4   11.6   89.2   58.0   45.3    1.8    5.7   12.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    55    45     0   100    8.9   18.5   15.9  102.5   59.5   46.3   11.3   15.3   19.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    57    43     0   100    2.8   10.6   12.1  102.4   61.2   48.8    2.0    5.1   11.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------