***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.11.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 23.11.2020.-29.11.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    75    25   100    5.5    3.6   11.7   83.9   51.1   44.5    1.9    3.5    7.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    55    45     0   100    1.7    3.4   10.5   80.0   50.2   43.9    1.9    3.3    6.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100    8.2    6.1   12.4   90.6   53.0   46.7    1.6    5.4   10.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    55    45     0   100    4.4    6.4   12.7   77.8   48.5   43.1    4.1    6.8   11.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    56    44     0   100    2.6    8.7   14.7   98.2   57.3   48.8    2.4    5.3   11.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    57    43     0   100    2.5   12.5   14.9  109.9   62.2   51.9    2.5    5.2   13.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    58    42     0   100    1.5    3.4   10.4   80.3   49.8   44.8    1.7    3.4    9.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    57    43     0   100    4.7   10.7   14.5   90.9   55.2   46.0    4.3    8.3   14.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    58    42     0   100    2.8    7.0   13.7   94.1   56.8   46.9    2.4    6.1    8.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    57    43     0   100    3.3    8.0   14.7   96.4   57.4   47.8    3.5    7.0   10.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    54    46     0   100    4.0   10.0   14.6   98.9   58.9   48.6    2.8    8.1   10.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    52    48     0   100    4.1    9.3   13.6   93.2   56.8   46.8    3.7    8.1   11.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100    3.3    7.4   15.4  107.9   60.6   51.7    2.9    6.3    8.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   10.7    9.5   16.7   99.9   58.9   49.2    4.3    7.4   13.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    52    48     0   100    3.5    6.8   10.9   68.0   49.4   41.0    3.8    6.8    9.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    55    45     0   100    2.7    9.3   14.4   99.6   58.4   49.0    2.1    5.9   10.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01    56    44     0   100    2.8    5.7   10.1   78.3   51.2   43.3    1.8    5.6    9.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16    57    43     0   100    4.5    9.7   14.9   93.6   57.4   46.9    3.7    8.1   13.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    53    47     0   100    3.0    6.2   11.1   82.7   51.0   44.5    1.1    5.8    9.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    57    43     0   100    4.2    9.7   16.5   81.8   52.6   43.4    3.7    8.2   16.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    56    44     0   100    2.6    6.4   13.2   92.9   54.7   47.0    2.3    5.6    9.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100    8.8    7.2   10.8   79.7   50.0   43.0    2.3    7.3   10.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    53    47     0   100    2.9    6.7   12.5   89.2   53.7   46.5    2.4    5.8    8.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    52    48     0   100    3.7   10.4   15.2   99.1   57.7   48.4    3.2    6.1   12.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    51    49     0   100    3.7    7.5   14.4   92.1   53.2   46.9    2.5    7.1    9.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    55    45     0   100    2.7    6.6   14.9   98.0   58.4   49.3    4.3    5.5   11.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    51    49     0   100    2.7    6.0   13.0   88.1   53.5   45.8    3.1    5.4    8.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    54    46     0   100    3.5    6.7   12.1   77.9   51.4   43.1    3.4    6.6   12.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    56    44     0   100    5.6   15.2   15.8   90.9   57.1   46.2    6.3   11.0   23.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    53    47     0   100    1.8    3.8   10.8   80.8   49.9   44.4    1.9    3.8    8.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------