***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 06.11.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 10.11.2014.-16.11.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     1    99   100    5.4    8.8    9.4    5.0   99.8   97.4    1.9    2.8    4.1   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     0   100   100    5.0    7.6    9.1    5.0   99.9   98.0    1.2    2.5    3.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0     0   100   100    6.6   10.3    9.0    4.8   99.5   97.7    3.2    4.4    5.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0     0   100   100    1.9    6.6    6.5    4.9   98.4   97.7   -1.8   -0.4    0.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0     0   100   100    4.0    7.2    6.7    4.5   97.9   96.5    0.7    1.9    3.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0     2    98   100    2.7    5.0    3.4    3.2   89.3   87.8   -0.7    1.9    2.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     0   100   100    5.2    7.5    9.0    4.9  100.0   96.9    1.5    2.1    3.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0     0   100   100   -0.7    2.5    5.1    4.1   97.9   95.9   -3.6   -1.9   -1.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0     0   100   100    4.4    7.8    6.9    4.1   96.1   94.9    1.8    2.6    3.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0     0   100   100    4.1    6.3    5.7    4.1   96.6   95.2    0.4    2.7    3.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0     0   100   100    3.9    7.6    6.2    4.3   98.8   96.8    0.3    2.1    2.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0     2    98   100    2.8    6.4    5.3    3.9   97.0   94.0   -0.6    1.4    2.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0     8    92   100    3.5    4.5    4.2    3.1   86.9   86.2   -0.1    1.3    3.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0     1    99   100    5.3    7.1    6.9    4.0   95.2   93.7    2.0    2.9    3.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     0   100   100    3.8    7.3    8.0    5.2   99.3   98.4    0.7    1.9    2.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0     2    98   100    4.4    6.5    5.3    4.0   94.8   93.5    0.9    3.0    3.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0     0   100   100    4.7    6.2    8.8    4.9   99.5   97.8    1.3    2.0    3.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0     1    99   100    2.4    3.5    4.6    3.6   92.6   91.3   -0.7    1.0    2.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0     0   100   100    5.3    6.9    8.9    4.9   99.8   98.1    1.2    2.3    3.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0     3    97   100    0.8    3.1    3.1    3.5   92.6   90.8   -2.8   -1.6   -0.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0     0   100   100    4.4    8.6    8.2    4.5   98.8   96.2    1.3    2.5    3.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0     0   100   100    4.3    5.6    8.5    4.6   98.4   96.9    0.9    2.3    3.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0     0   100   100    4.7    6.6    8.4    4.6   99.1   97.8    1.5    2.0    3.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0     0   100   100    3.1    5.3    6.4    3.9   93.4   92.8    1.0    1.8    2.7   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0     1    99   100    4.3    7.7    7.9    4.8   99.5   97.2    0.8    2.9    3.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0     7    93   100    3.6    5.7    4.7    3.6   94.6   91.6   -0.5    2.2    2.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     2    98   100    5.5   10.1    8.4    4.6   97.9   94.9    2.0    2.6    3.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0     0   100   100    3.0    6.6    6.9    4.9   98.3   97.6   -0.3    0.5    1.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0     1    99   100    2.3    5.7    3.8    3.4   91.4   89.4   -0.9    0.2    1.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0     0   100   100    5.4    8.5    9.3    5.0  100.0   98.0    1.5    2.6    3.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------