***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 01.11.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 26.11.2018.-02.12.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100    2.8    5.9   12.2   87.8   53.4   43.3    3.5    5.4    9.6   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100    2.6    5.8   11.8   99.4   58.4   46.8    1.8    4.9    8.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    55    45     0   100    3.5    7.9   12.1   89.5   53.9   45.2    4.0    6.9   14.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    76    24   100   15.5   14.0   14.1   92.3   56.9   47.2    6.1   12.1   17.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    52    48     0   100    4.7    9.3   13.7   90.9   52.4   45.9    2.3    8.4   14.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    9.3    7.5   13.3   98.2   57.4   48.9    2.7    6.8    9.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    55    45     0   100    2.9    6.5   11.7  100.5   58.7   46.9    3.1    5.9   10.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    52    48     0   100    6.9   12.2   14.6   92.9   53.6   45.7    7.3   10.6   19.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100    2.5    4.2   13.6   88.0   50.9   45.2    2.0    4.0   13.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    54    46     0   100    4.6    7.9   14.1   89.5   50.9   45.1    3.3    7.6   16.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100    4.0    8.4   13.5   93.1   53.5   46.3    3.7    7.7   15.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100    5.0   14.3   13.8   96.1   56.5   46.9    8.0   10.5   16.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    75    25   100   10.1   10.3   14.2   95.5   55.8   47.6    4.9    7.9   12.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    54    46     0   100    4.4    9.4   14.5   88.6   52.3   44.7    3.7    8.4   16.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100   17.9   20.0   14.8   98.2   61.1   49.7    3.5   12.2   21.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   11.9   10.1   13.3   93.5   55.9   47.4    3.6    9.4   15.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    75    25   100    6.7    7.4   11.8  101.3   57.8   47.7    1.7    4.8   12.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16    56    44     0   100    4.5    8.5   14.3   87.4   50.9   44.7    6.3    8.2   17.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    55    45     0   100    3.2    7.1   12.0   97.1   56.4   46.5    1.2    6.6    9.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    7.4   15.0   18.0   88.4   52.2   45.2    6.7   14.6   24.2   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    59    41     0   100    3.6    9.5   13.0   89.7   53.5   45.9    4.0    7.8   11.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    51    49     0   100    3.2    9.5   12.2   98.8   55.0   47.6    2.7    6.0   11.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    55    45     0   100    3.0    8.0   12.7   94.4   55.0   46.0    2.8    6.3   11.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    55    45     0   100    5.0    9.5   13.4   87.4   52.0   44.7    3.5    9.3   12.3   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    54    46     0   100    3.5   10.7   13.8   89.2   54.0   44.4    3.0    7.1   13.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    9.1    8.8   15.0   97.7   57.7   49.4    3.7    7.4    9.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100    2.5    5.5   12.8   88.4   53.0   43.1    2.3    5.4   11.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100   13.7   12.4   13.4   93.9   58.3   48.5    6.0   10.0   15.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    56    44     0   100    7.4   13.3   15.0   86.4   51.1   44.6    8.2   12.9   22.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    55    45     0   100    2.8    5.6   11.9   96.2   57.1   46.2    3.0    4.9    7.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------