***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 30.10.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 24.11.2014.-30.11.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    56    44     0   100    5.6    8.1    7.5   -0.1   50.5   49.5    6.0    8.1   10.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    55    45     0   100    5.5    7.6    7.3   -0.1   45.3   49.2    6.3    8.0    9.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00    57    43     0   100    6.5    9.2    7.5   -0.1   47.1   49.4    7.7    9.5   11.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100    4.4    4.1    5.5    0.0   51.3   51.7    1.0    4.0    4.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   10.2    9.2    5.9   -0.1   46.3   50.1    8.2    9.5   11.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100    8.7    7.9    5.4    0.0   47.5   51.1    7.2    8.0    9.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    56    44     0   100    5.2    7.1    7.1   -0.1   45.9   48.9    6.5    7.1    9.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100    2.7    1.9    5.5    0.0   47.0   50.9    0.5    2.1    3.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    51    49     0   100    7.1    9.5    6.6   -0.1   44.9   49.2    8.2   10.2   11.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   10.2    9.1    6.1    0.0   46.8   50.1    7.3    9.5   10.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100   10.7    9.8    5.9    0.0   47.1   50.5    8.2    9.9   12.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100   10.0    9.1    5.8    0.1   46.3   50.8    8.1    9.4   11.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    51    49     0   100    6.3    9.3    5.6    0.1   47.7   51.3    7.7    9.5   11.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    51    49     0   100    6.8    9.2    7.0    0.0   45.4   50.0    7.2    9.3   11.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100    7.8    7.5    5.7    0.0   52.0   52.7    5.7    7.0    9.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    75    25   100   10.9    9.9    5.6    0.0   47.2   51.0    8.4   10.0   12.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01    56    44     0   100    5.0    6.9    7.1    0.0   44.3   50.1    5.6    7.2    8.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    5.2    7.4    6.0    0.0   46.2   50.3    4.4    7.6    8.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    56    44     0   100    5.7    7.9    7.4   -0.1   45.6   49.4    6.7    8.2    9.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100    6.6    5.7    4.7    0.2   46.2   52.2    3.0    5.9    8.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    53    47     0   100    6.7    9.2    7.1   -0.1   46.9   49.4    7.9    9.5   11.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    59    41     0   100    5.1    7.3    7.2    0.1   44.2   50.7    6.4    7.7    8.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    57    43     0   100    5.6    7.6    7.6    0.0   46.0   49.7    6.9    8.0    9.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    53    47     0   100    7.2    9.8    6.9   -0.1   45.3   49.8    7.6   10.3   11.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    53    47     0   100    6.1    8.9    6.2    0.0   50.0   50.8    7.1    8.9   10.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    51    49     0   100    6.8    7.9    5.6    0.1   46.9   51.5    6.1    8.1   10.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    58    42     0   100    6.5    9.3    6.9   -0.1   50.4   49.9    7.3    9.3   11.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    77    23   100    8.2    7.8    5.6    0.0   50.1   51.7    6.4    7.7    9.4   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100    6.8    5.5    5.6    0.2   46.9   51.8    3.9    5.9    8.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    58    42     0   100    5.3    7.8    7.4   -0.1   46.3   49.0    6.2    8.1   10.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------