***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 26.10.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 30.10.2017.-05.11.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    85    15   100    9.0   11.4    9.5  109.1   66.9   58.0    0.9    8.2   11.4   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100    6.5    9.9    8.5   95.4   63.0   55.1    0.4    4.5   10.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100    7.8   13.1    9.1  100.4   64.4   55.3    0.6    5.2   13.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100    7.2   10.6    8.1   84.6   64.1   50.5    1.3    4.9   11.9   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    81    19   100    6.8   10.9   10.0  107.2   68.5   56.0    0.4    4.6   10.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    79    21   100    4.1    4.4    7.8   83.1   61.9   51.0    0.1    2.6    6.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    84    16   100    6.0   10.0    9.1  102.9   67.0   58.2    0.2    4.0   10.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100   10.9   12.7   10.0   86.4   61.3   49.2    1.3    8.6   14.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    81    19   100    7.3    9.4    9.7  103.6   65.5   55.0    0.0    5.4    9.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    79    21   100    9.3   10.8   10.6   95.8   62.6   52.0    0.6    7.6   11.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100    7.6    9.2    9.3   95.9   65.4   52.7    0.3    6.2    9.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100    7.7   12.9    8.6   85.6   64.0   49.6    0.4    5.9   12.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100    6.0    9.1    8.8   83.6   62.4   50.9    0.1    3.8    9.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    77    23   100   15.8   14.7   10.4   92.1   61.9   51.9    3.8   10.9   23.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100    5.0    3.2    5.1   58.4   58.9   44.4    0.2    2.0    6.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100    5.1    8.3    8.7   89.8   64.5   52.2    0.0    3.2    9.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    84    16   100    4.5    7.6    9.1   99.0   63.9   56.4    0.2    2.7    8.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   11.4   10.5   10.8   89.9   59.6   49.9    2.9    8.6   13.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100    7.5    8.4    8.4   92.4   61.7   53.4    0.6    4.9   11.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    53    47     0   100    3.4    9.3   11.1   78.3   56.5   45.7    1.0    7.2   17.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    82    18   100    8.4   10.0    9.7  105.2   64.7   56.5    0.3    7.5   10.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    81    19   100    4.7    8.4    8.9   89.4   58.4   52.6    0.2    1.8   10.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100    8.5    8.0    8.7   93.0   62.6   52.6    1.9    5.6   11.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   12.2   13.4   10.1   93.7   62.2   52.1    1.7    9.1   14.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    86    14   100    5.6    8.8   10.7  112.2   67.0   59.7    0.6    3.9    8.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100    6.0    3.8    7.1   70.2   57.6   46.5    0.3    3.0    5.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    86    14   100    7.6   13.4   10.2  114.5   68.0   60.1    0.4    6.4   13.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    77    23   100    4.5    4.5    6.7   73.0   61.8   47.3    0.4    2.3    6.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    78    22   100   17.8   18.5   10.6   81.9   57.2   47.7    3.3   15.5   20.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    81    19   100    6.8   10.1    8.4   97.2   64.2   55.6    0.8    4.3   10.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------