***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 25.10.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 05.11.2012.-11.11.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100 9999.0    0.0   12.2    0.1   46.0   50.2 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100    9.6   11.2   11.9   -0.2   45.0   48.5   10.6   11.5   12.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00    55    45     0   100   10.3   12.0   12.3    0.0   44.9   50.1   11.1   12.6   13.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    52    48     0   100    4.1    6.3   10.8    0.4   47.7   51.7    4.7    6.5    7.2   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    54    46     0   100   10.4   12.1   11.2    0.3   45.6   51.3   11.1   12.5   13.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   12.5   11.7   10.5    0.8   48.5   54.1    9.7   11.8   13.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    51    49     0   100    9.7   10.8   11.8   -0.1   45.6   48.6   10.2   11.7   12.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100    2.3    4.6   10.2    0.3   45.1   51.5    3.3    5.6    6.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100   10.7   12.5   11.6    0.2   44.8   51.0   11.3   13.2   14.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    57    43     0   100   10.5   12.2   10.8    0.1   44.9   50.8   10.7   12.5   13.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    51    49     0   100   10.8   12.2   11.1    0.5   46.4   52.7   11.0   12.6   14.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    75    25   100   13.3   12.0   11.0    0.6   46.8   53.5   10.4   12.6   14.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100   12.9   11.9   10.8    0.7   48.4   53.9   10.6   12.2   14.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    58    42     0   100   10.5   11.9   11.3   -0.4   43.1   47.1   11.3   12.6   14.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100   11.8   11.7   11.2    0.7   51.9   54.2   10.5   11.5   12.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   13.8   13.0   11.0    0.7   47.6   53.3   11.2   13.1   14.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01    53    47     0   100    9.5   10.5   11.5   -0.3   42.9   47.1   10.2   10.9   12.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    59    41     0   100    8.8   10.7   10.2   -0.2   43.9   48.5    9.5   11.2   13.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    57    43     0   100    9.4   11.5   12.1   -0.2   44.6   48.7   11.0   11.8   13.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    56    44     0   100    7.0    9.4    8.3   -0.2   42.1   47.4    7.9    9.6   12.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    55    45     0   100   10.3   12.2   12.0    0.1   44.5   50.3   11.0   12.8   13.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    55    45     0   100    9.3   11.0   11.6   -0.4   43.9   46.9   10.6   11.4   13.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    57    43     0   100    9.8   11.3   12.2   -0.2   43.9   48.7   10.9   11.7   13.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    57    43     0   100   10.5   12.8   11.4   -0.2   43.7   48.8   12.0   13.0   14.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    53    47     0   100   10.0   11.7   11.0    0.1   44.7   50.3   10.2   11.9   13.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100   12.9   11.9   10.6    0.8   49.0   54.8   10.9   12.2   14.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    52    48     0   100   10.2   12.3   11.6    0.1   44.8   50.1   10.6   12.5   13.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100   12.1   11.8   11.2    0.6   50.2   52.9   10.3   11.8   12.6   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16    57    43     0   100    5.7    7.8    9.3   -0.3   42.5   47.3    6.6    8.6   11.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    55    45     0   100    9.6   11.4   12.1   -0.1   46.1   49.2   10.1   11.9   12.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------