***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.10.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 04.11.2019.-10.11.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    79    21   100   11.7   13.3   16.0  129.9   67.8   57.3    5.3    9.9   12.7   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    81    19   100   10.0   15.5   14.2  125.9   66.5   57.3    3.5    6.9   15.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100   11.8   15.1   15.7  127.6   67.0   57.2    3.8    9.9   15.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100   10.6   13.8   14.6  101.4   61.2   53.0    1.6    5.8   17.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    81    19   100   10.7    9.9   14.3  103.7   60.1   54.0    2.2    8.1   12.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    9.6    8.3   11.8   84.8   55.9   49.7    1.3    6.9   13.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100   10.4   15.3   14.1  123.2   66.2   56.4    2.3    8.6   15.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    81    19   100   14.3   23.7   15.5  110.2   64.0   56.9    5.8   10.2   25.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100    9.1   13.4   15.4  108.2   60.6   54.2    1.3    6.9   16.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    81    19   100   12.9   16.4   15.9  109.7   63.6   55.6    2.0   11.0   17.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100   11.1   13.1   13.3  101.9   61.6   54.3    1.4    8.9   14.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100   11.4   13.6   13.5  104.6   63.6   55.5    3.4    8.3   16.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    80    20   100   13.5   13.0   14.0  101.1   61.9   53.9    3.0   10.9   17.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    83    17   100   14.8   20.0   19.0  126.0   68.1   56.4    4.9   12.4   17.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    81    19   100    6.3    8.7   14.5  100.0   61.1   53.4    1.0    4.1   10.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    80    20   100   10.1   10.1   13.1  100.1   61.7   53.8    2.1    8.0   13.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    80    20   100   10.6   15.8   13.4  118.4   65.5   55.0    2.7    7.7   16.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    84    16   100   13.4   18.7   17.6  115.2   64.9   56.2    4.0   11.3   18.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    80    20   100   11.4   17.0   14.6  128.1   67.2   57.6    2.5    8.5   16.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    81    19   100   12.5   17.0   22.1  121.8   67.1   59.2    6.5    9.3   17.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100    9.6   11.3   15.2  113.4   63.0   55.3    2.1    7.8   12.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100   11.2   17.7   14.1  116.8   66.7   55.5    2.5    8.5   17.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100   12.3   15.4   15.6  129.7   67.2   57.2    2.2    8.9   14.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    83    17   100   11.8   16.7   17.2  120.7   65.6   56.0    4.1    9.6   16.7   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100    8.2   11.0   16.5  116.4   64.7   55.9    1.5    5.8   11.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    80    20   100    7.9    9.2   15.3  105.4   62.7   53.9    2.2    5.5   11.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    79    21   100   10.9   13.7   16.2  123.7   67.8   56.3    4.6    8.9   13.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100    6.6    8.2   12.9   95.4   60.5   52.0    0.9    3.0    9.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    83    17   100   21.7   25.5   18.9  118.1   65.5   57.1    6.9   19.3   25.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    82    18   100    9.7   15.7   14.9  128.8   66.3   57.3    1.9    7.9   15.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------