***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.10.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.10.2013.-17.11.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    25    75   100 9999.0    0.0   15.2    2.0   82.9   78.2 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    24    76   100   14.9   16.0   15.1    2.3   86.8   80.9   11.9   12.8   13.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    24    76   100   15.6   16.9   15.5    2.3   85.9   80.2   12.6   13.5   15.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    30    70   100    9.1    9.8   12.9    1.6   77.5   72.1    6.6    7.6    8.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    24    76   100   15.0   16.2   14.0    2.0   83.8   76.6   13.0   13.8   14.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    24    76   100   14.6   15.4   13.2    2.1   85.2   76.3   12.7   13.8   14.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    24    76   100   14.5   15.7   14.9    2.2   85.6   80.5   11.8   12.7   13.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    24    76   100    7.7    9.2   13.6    2.5   89.5   81.0    5.0    6.0    6.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    24    76   100   15.8   17.1   14.9    2.3   86.8   78.9   13.0   14.1   15.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    24    76   100   15.2   16.9   14.3    2.5   88.6   80.5   12.8   13.5   14.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    23    77   100   15.6   17.0   14.1    2.2   86.5   77.9   13.3   14.2   15.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    22    78   100   15.4   16.7   14.1    2.4   88.2   80.1   12.8   14.1   15.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    21    79   100   15.7   16.8   13.9    2.3   87.1   79.3   13.2   14.4   15.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    24    76   100   16.2   18.1   15.4    2.8   91.3   82.8   13.0   13.8   15.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    34    66   100   13.0   13.2   13.0    1.3   74.9   70.0   11.8   12.5   13.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    21    79   100   16.0   16.7   13.8    2.1   84.4   76.9   14.0   14.8   16.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    26    74   100   13.9   15.6   14.8    2.3   88.4   81.8   11.3   12.2   12.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    24    76   100   14.4   16.0   14.2    2.7   89.5   81.7   11.9   12.5   13.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    24    76   100   15.2   16.5   15.4    2.3   87.8   81.3   12.1   13.2   14.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    25    75   100   12.5   14.3   12.3    2.6   90.6   82.1   10.1   11.0   12.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    25    75   100   15.4   16.9   15.2    2.2   85.1   78.4   12.7   13.6   14.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    24    76   100   14.9   16.5   15.1    2.4   88.9   82.6   11.8   12.7   14.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    24    76   100   15.3   16.6   15.7    2.5   89.6   82.0   12.2   13.1   14.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    24    76   100   16.3   17.5   15.3    2.7   89.6   82.0   13.2   14.3   15.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    27    73   100   14.1   15.1   13.8    1.9   81.9   76.6   11.8   12.8   13.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    20    80   100   15.4   16.7   13.7    2.4   88.9   81.6   12.6   13.8   14.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    25    75   100   14.7   15.9   14.6    2.0   83.1   78.1   12.5   13.3   14.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    32    68   100   13.9   14.1   13.2    1.5   76.1   70.9   11.9   13.0   13.4   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    25    75   100   11.6   13.5   13.5    2.7   90.5   82.2    9.5   10.2   11.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    24    76   100   14.6   15.9   15.2    2.2   85.7   80.2   11.9   12.8   13.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------