***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 16.10.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 27.10.2014.-02.11.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100    4.9    4.3    7.5    0.4   51.9   54.0    2.8    4.3    6.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    84    16   100    4.8    4.5    7.4    0.5   52.6   55.4    2.9    4.4    5.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100    7.1    6.8    7.3    0.6   52.9   55.9    6.0    6.7    7.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    81    19   100    2.2    2.2    4.9    0.5   53.9   55.7    0.6    1.7    3.3   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    80    20   100    3.6    3.5    5.2    0.6   55.5   56.2    2.1    3.2    4.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    79    21   100    3.1    2.7    3.6    0.5   51.1   56.2    1.3    2.6    3.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100    4.7    4.5    7.3    0.4   52.7   54.9    3.1    4.3    6.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100    0.2   -0.1    4.1    0.5   53.0   55.3   -1.1   -0.2    0.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    80    20   100    4.8    5.0    6.0    0.7   57.9   56.5    3.3    4.3    5.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100    4.4    4.3    4.7    0.6   55.6   56.0    2.9    3.9    5.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100    3.8    4.1    4.9    0.6   55.3   56.3    2.2    3.2    5.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100    3.2    2.7    4.5    0.4   53.0   54.5    1.3    2.4    3.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    78    22   100    3.7    3.1    4.0    0.3   50.8   54.4    1.5    3.1    4.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    80    20   100    5.5    5.4    6.2    0.9   54.9   59.1    4.3    5.1    6.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100    5.1    4.9    5.3    0.5   55.4   56.7    3.2    4.5    6.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100    4.8    4.4    4.4    0.5   53.0   55.8    3.1    4.2    5.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    83    17   100    5.1    4.9    7.3    0.6   52.9   56.3    3.7    4.8    5.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100    3.1    3.2    4.4    0.7   55.3   56.3    1.5    2.5    3.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    83    17   100    5.0    4.8    7.4    0.6   53.7   56.6    3.2    4.7    5.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100    0.1   -0.5    3.1    0.5   51.2   55.0   -1.3   -0.5    0.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100    4.7    4.4    6.8    0.6   54.9   55.3    3.3    4.2    5.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    83    17   100    4.5    4.2    7.3    0.7   54.8   58.0    2.8    4.1    5.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    83    17   100    4.9    5.2    7.2    0.8   55.1   58.4    2.9    4.5    5.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    80    20   100    4.5    4.5    5.9    0.8   55.0   57.9    3.0    4.0    5.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100    5.1    4.8    5.8    0.5   52.8   54.9    2.9    4.7    5.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    4.0    3.2    4.2    0.1   47.3   52.3    2.2    3.4    4.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    79    21   100    5.3    5.1    6.7    0.5   53.0   54.7    3.0    4.7    5.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    80    20   100    3.3    3.1    5.1    0.6   54.2   56.6    1.9    2.9    4.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100    3.1    2.7    4.0    0.7   53.0   56.6    1.4    2.6    3.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    82    18   100    5.0    4.7    7.4    0.5   52.8   55.0    3.5    4.5    6.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------