***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.10.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 12.10.2020.-18.10.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     6    94   100    6.3   21.6   32.0  346.9   91.9   88.2    0.1    2.8    3.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     2    98   100   11.8   42.3   35.4  431.8   96.1   93.1    0.0    2.8    8.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0     6    94   100   12.7   36.3   32.9  364.1   94.1   89.2    0.3    5.0    6.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    15    85   100   19.2   24.1   24.9  191.3   81.2   77.9    1.6    6.3   11.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    16    84   100   15.7   23.1   24.6  234.6   85.2   80.4    0.6    5.2   11.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    88    12   100    6.8   17.5   15.2  126.6   70.5   66.5    1.1    4.5   13.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     1    99   100   10.2   34.1   35.4  429.2   96.3   92.8    0.3    2.0    8.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    16    84   100   23.1   35.4   30.9  245.1   86.3   81.6    5.9    8.8   14.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    12    88   100   14.2   24.7   27.4  269.8   88.3   83.6    0.8    6.1    9.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    16    84   100   15.8   35.6   29.3  252.4   86.8   82.2    4.2   10.0   14.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    24    76   100   14.1   24.3   22.6  205.3   82.2   76.9    1.3    6.2   12.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    18    82   100   15.6   24.6   25.8  224.7   83.7   79.6    0.9    6.0   12.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    37    63   100   17.6   22.1   19.0  157.4   75.3   71.4    1.5    7.9   15.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0     5    95   100   26.2   49.8   38.2  362.1   94.4   90.8    1.6    9.3   14.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    31    69   100   10.7   14.4   21.1  166.3   78.4   74.1    0.5    2.7   10.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    31    69   100   11.7   13.6   20.0  170.3   76.2   73.0    1.2    4.9   10.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0     0   100   100   13.2   28.3   36.7  446.2   96.5   94.2    0.4    4.2    8.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    10    90   100   18.9   40.6   34.7  289.0   91.5   86.2    3.8    9.1   16.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0     2    98   100   15.0   47.8   35.4  425.5   95.7   92.8    0.6    2.9    8.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0     8    92   100   17.3   42.7   38.7  282.0   91.6   86.0    4.6    8.8   13.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    11    89   100    9.9   23.2   29.0  288.9   90.1   85.0    1.7    5.4    8.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0     1    99   100   12.1   29.2   37.6  442.5   96.2   93.8    0.2    5.7    8.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0     2    98   100   14.5   51.8   35.7  409.0   95.4   92.0    0.4    2.7    7.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0     7    93   100   14.8   40.0   34.8  335.3   92.9   88.6    2.5    5.4   11.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    12    88   100   12.4   23.0   31.1  304.5   92.0   86.0    0.8    3.5    6.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    23    77   100   17.0   20.1   23.5  202.4   82.2   77.6    1.9    8.5   17.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     7    93   100   10.3   18.2   31.7  334.7   93.1   87.6    1.2    3.8    6.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    31    69   100   15.0   18.9   19.7  155.9   75.6   72.7    1.2    4.0   11.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0     7    93   100   27.9   39.2   38.7  302.2   92.0   87.3    8.5   12.6   21.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0     3    97   100   13.1   40.5   34.6  409.9   95.9   91.5    0.4    1.7    7.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------