***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.10.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 26.10.2015.-01.11.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    59    41     0   100    1.4    6.6   10.7   84.5   56.7   45.5    1.2    3.4   10.3   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100    1.0    3.8   10.7   82.6   56.0   44.5    0.7    2.3    7.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00    56    44     0   100    2.4    6.6   11.0   85.5   54.4   44.7    1.4    5.4    8.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    59    41     0   100    2.8    9.7   12.9   85.2   60.1   43.5    1.0    6.5   12.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    58    42     0   100    2.0    8.9   14.1  101.2   63.6   50.5    1.5    4.8    9.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    56    44     0   100    1.2    3.6   17.3  115.8   61.4   50.6    1.1    2.8    5.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100    5.4    4.7   10.6   82.6   53.5   44.9    1.3    3.6    6.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100    8.7   11.2   16.1  113.7   66.9   52.9    1.0    6.3   11.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    58    42     0   100    2.2    7.7   13.5   98.7   63.0   49.4    1.6    5.2    8.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100    4.1   11.4   14.8  104.0   64.2   50.9    3.3    8.1   11.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    51    49     0   100    3.2    9.4   14.0  111.7   67.2   53.7    0.8    6.4    9.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    52    48     0   100    1.8    8.7   14.9  121.2   68.4   54.6    0.8    3.7    7.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    53    47     0   100    1.8    6.1   15.7  116.5   63.3   52.3    0.9    3.8    8.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    63    37     0   100    3.0    8.2   13.3   86.4   54.2   45.0    2.2    7.6   12.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    55    45     0   100    0.9    5.0   16.7  102.5   67.3   48.8    1.0    2.0    4.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100    1.2    6.8   14.7  113.8   65.0   52.6    0.5    2.3    7.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    54    46     0   100    1.8    4.2   11.1   84.8   54.2   45.5    1.5    3.8    8.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16    54    46     0   100    3.0   10.2   15.3   95.3   58.7   47.9    1.5    5.9   10.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    57    43     0   100    1.6    4.4   10.8   83.6   55.2   44.3    1.5    3.8    7.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    52    48     0   100    2.3    9.7   20.2   97.6   59.4   48.0    1.0    4.7   13.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    53    47     0   100    3.0    7.4   12.0   90.9   58.4   47.7    1.0    6.2    8.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    56    44     0   100    1.8    5.2   11.0   82.2   53.8   44.8    1.6    4.0    6.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    59    41     0   100    1.5    4.2   11.0   84.7   53.7   44.6    1.3    3.4    8.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    58    42     0   100    2.9    7.4   13.1   88.7   54.4   45.6    2.4    6.8   11.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    57    43     0   100    1.3    4.6   12.6   88.7   57.4   46.3    1.4    2.8    6.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    54    46     0   100    1.0    5.2   15.7  116.9   62.7   53.2    0.7    2.1    7.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    59    41     0   100    1.0    3.1   11.6   85.0   54.8   45.3    0.7    2.3    5.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    54    46     0   100    2.3    6.4   15.1   98.8   63.8   47.7    1.3    5.0    6.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    56    44     0   100    5.2   13.3   16.4   92.1   55.5   47.4    5.3   10.6   17.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    54    46     0   100    1.6    3.7   10.6   82.5   54.8   44.6    1.1    3.3    5.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------