***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 05.10.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 09.10.2017.-15.10.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    56    44     0   100    6.6    7.0    9.1   -0.7   37.3   38.6    6.9    7.6    8.7   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    79    21   100    7.8    7.1    8.9   -0.6   38.6   40.7    6.8    7.4    8.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100   10.1    9.3    9.3   -0.7   37.9   39.4    9.0    9.8   10.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    76    24   100    5.5    4.6    6.6   -0.4   43.0   43.2    4.1    5.3    5.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    52    48     0   100    5.7    5.7    7.5   -0.7   38.7   38.9    5.6    6.4    7.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    68    32     0   100    4.7    4.5    4.1   -1.6   22.9   24.9    5.2    6.0    6.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    81    19   100    8.2    7.3    9.0   -0.5   41.2   42.7    6.8    7.9    8.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    75    25     0   100    0.6    0.6    4.4   -1.7   20.7   23.2    1.2    1.9    3.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100    6.8    7.1    7.3   -1.1   32.2   32.7    7.1    7.7    8.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    64    36     0   100    6.4    6.6    5.5   -1.4   26.1   27.6    6.8    7.5    7.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    6.1    6.1    6.6   -1.2   28.5   30.7    6.2    6.9    7.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    66    34     0   100    5.2    5.2    5.4   -1.5   24.2   26.6    5.4    5.8    6.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    62    38     0   100    5.4    5.5    5.5   -1.5   26.8   28.2    5.8    6.5    7.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100    8.4    7.5    7.5   -0.6   39.0   39.5    7.3    8.0    8.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100    8.3    7.3    7.9   -0.7   36.8   37.6    7.3    8.0    8.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100    8.2    7.3    6.1   -1.1   33.0   34.1    7.3    7.7    8.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    81    19   100    8.0    7.3    8.8   -0.3   44.2   45.0    7.0    7.6    8.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16    54    46     0   100    5.7    5.7    5.2   -1.1   31.9   32.3    5.9    6.6    7.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100    8.0    6.9    8.9   -0.6   37.3   39.7    6.8    7.6    8.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    80    20     0   100    1.5    1.6    2.8   -2.1   19.7   21.1    1.9    2.8    4.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    75    25   100    7.5    6.1    8.5   -0.9   36.9   36.4    6.0    6.8    7.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100    7.2    6.3    9.0   -0.4   41.0   43.1    5.8    6.8    8.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    54    46     0   100    6.4    6.8    8.8   -0.8   34.2   37.0    6.7    7.3    8.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100    7.6    7.0    7.4   -0.7   38.0   38.6    6.3    7.4    7.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    55    45     0   100    6.6    6.6    8.2   -1.0   33.9   35.8    6.5    7.3    8.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    72    28     0   100    5.5    6.0    4.9   -1.6   27.0   27.1    6.3    6.6    7.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100    6.1    6.5    8.7   -0.7   38.0   39.7    6.5    6.9    9.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100    6.5    5.8    6.8   -0.6   40.4   41.3    5.1    6.1    7.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    68    32     0   100    4.6    4.3    4.0   -1.7   24.0   25.2    4.6    5.8    6.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100    8.1    7.2    9.1   -0.7   37.5   39.4    6.9    7.6    8.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------