***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.09.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 02.10.2017.-08.10.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100   10.0    9.8   11.5    0.0   51.2   50.7    7.7    9.7   10.6   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   10.0    9.8   11.2    0.1   51.4   52.1    8.7    9.6   10.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   12.0   11.6   11.6    0.0   49.5   50.8   10.6   11.7   12.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100    7.2    6.5    8.4   -0.6   43.7   43.8    6.1    6.7    7.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100    9.5    8.9    9.4   -0.1   47.6   49.6    7.7    9.2   10.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100    8.7    7.6    7.1   -0.2   43.6   46.5    6.6    8.4    9.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100    9.8    9.3   11.1   -0.1   48.6   50.2    8.3    9.4   10.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    52    48     0   100    2.9    3.6    7.4    0.0   46.5   49.9    2.6    3.9    4.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100   10.5   10.0    9.7    0.1   50.1   52.1    8.6   10.0   11.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100    7.9    9.0    8.2    0.0   47.8   50.4    8.0    9.2   10.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    52    48     0   100    7.5    9.1    8.9   -0.1   47.4   50.0    7.6    9.3    9.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100    8.4    8.0    8.2    0.0   48.7   50.2    6.6    8.1    8.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100    9.0    8.3    8.0   -0.1   45.6   48.8    7.1    8.6    9.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    77    23   100   10.2    9.9    9.6    0.1   50.6   52.5    8.9    9.8   10.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100   10.5   10.0    9.7   -0.5   42.9   44.0    8.8   10.3   10.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   10.2    9.4    8.4   -0.2   45.7   48.3    8.1    9.8   11.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100    9.9    9.7   10.9    0.1   51.1   51.4    8.6    9.6   10.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100    8.9    8.4    7.6    0.1   49.0   51.5    7.0    8.5    9.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100    9.9    9.6   11.3    0.2   52.5   53.1    8.7    9.4   10.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    78    22   100    5.4    5.0    6.1    0.2   49.5   51.8    2.7    5.0    6.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100    9.9    9.4   10.7   -0.1   48.0   50.1    8.2    9.5   10.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    78    22   100    9.0    8.7   11.0    0.1   53.0   52.4    7.7    8.5    9.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    77    23   100    9.6    9.3   11.3    0.3   51.9   54.4    8.2    9.1   10.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100    9.2    8.8    9.5    0.1   49.3   52.2    8.3    8.9   10.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100   10.5   10.0   10.5   -0.1   49.3   49.7    9.1   10.0   11.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100    9.4    8.3    7.7   -0.1   45.6   48.4    7.1    9.2    9.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    75    25   100   11.0   10.5   11.0    0.0   51.4   50.5    9.0   10.4   11.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100    9.1    8.3    8.6   -0.5   43.8   43.9    7.5    8.9    9.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100    7.8    7.3    7.0    0.1   49.2   51.7    6.4    7.4    8.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100   10.0    9.6   11.4    0.0   49.9   51.2    8.9    9.6   11.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------