***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 20.09.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 15.10.2012.-21.10.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    52    48     0   100 9999.0    0.0    9.4   94.1   56.7   49.6 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100    5.8    7.1    9.4  104.1   60.9   51.7    0.5    4.4    8.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   11.2   12.3    9.0   95.1   57.0   50.0    1.3    8.4   15.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    58    42     0   100    2.9   11.3   11.4  100.7   62.7   49.6    3.2    6.7   15.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    53    47     0   100    3.9   11.1   11.1   99.6   59.4   49.2    1.7    8.2   15.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    55    45     0   100    1.5    7.0   11.9   94.2   57.3   48.6    1.0    3.4   11.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    79    21   100    5.8    6.5    9.8  105.6   59.2   52.1    0.9    3.8    8.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    54    46     0   100    5.2   15.7   11.8  100.6   61.4   49.5    5.3   10.2   17.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    76    24   100   10.2   10.6   10.8   98.3   59.7   49.3    4.5    7.8   14.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100    6.0   14.4   11.6  100.0   61.3   49.4    2.8   10.9   16.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    4.7   12.7   10.6  101.5   59.1   48.7    2.0   10.0   14.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100    3.7    9.3   10.0   97.2   59.5   48.9    1.6    7.6   11.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    57    43     0   100    3.5    9.4   10.7   94.2   55.8   49.0    1.1    8.0   13.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    80    20   100   18.1   21.4   10.6   89.3   57.7   47.9    7.8   14.7   26.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    60    40     0   100    1.3    6.3   11.5  105.2   64.7   50.2    1.0    3.1    6.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    56    44     0   100    2.9    7.9   10.3   97.2   57.3   48.4    1.3    6.6   14.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100    4.7    4.5    9.5  104.5   61.1   50.7    0.6    1.8    8.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100   11.3   11.2   12.3   96.5   58.8   49.3    3.8    7.9   17.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    78    22   100   12.2   11.2    9.0   98.8   60.4   50.4    3.3    9.3   13.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    52    48     0   100    4.7   14.8   15.4   99.9   60.7   49.7    2.9    9.0   17.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    53    47     0   100    3.1    7.6   10.0   98.5   57.6   49.1    2.0    6.0   14.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100    8.4   10.7    9.5  100.8   63.6   50.0    0.6    5.6   12.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100   10.6   13.2    8.7   91.0   58.1   48.7    2.4    8.2   13.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100   16.3   15.0   10.3   92.5   57.8   48.8    3.4   13.8   16.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    55    45     0   100    1.8   10.5   10.8   95.7   55.8   49.3    1.4    4.0   14.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    54    46     0   100    2.8    8.9   11.2   99.5   59.6   48.2    0.5    6.1   12.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    53    47     0   100    2.5    7.2   10.2   93.9   55.3   49.2    2.4    5.2   15.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    58    42     0   100    2.3    9.9   11.0  101.0   63.3   49.4    3.0    5.3   10.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100   17.2   19.2   13.1   93.9   59.0   48.7    6.1   13.4   22.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    80    20   100    9.0    9.0    9.3  101.2   59.3   51.5    1.2    6.8   12.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------