***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.09.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 23.09.2019.-20.10.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    79    21   100    8.6    8.9   11.2    0.8   67.6   63.7    8.1    8.3    8.8   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100    8.8    9.2   10.6    0.6   64.0   60.3    7.8    8.5    9.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100   11.0   11.1   11.2    0.7   66.3   63.0   10.4   10.8   11.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100    6.4    7.0    8.8    1.0   71.3   67.4    5.5    6.2    6.8   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    42    58   100    8.9    9.0    9.3    0.9   69.8   66.2    7.1    8.0    8.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    34    66   100    7.9    8.0    7.5    1.1   74.2   70.3    6.6    7.2    7.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100    8.8    8.8   10.6    0.6   64.2   60.5    8.2    8.4    9.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    39    61   100    3.7    3.8    7.3    0.9   69.9   66.4    2.5    3.0    3.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    39    61   100    9.8    9.6    9.4    0.8   69.1   65.2    8.2    8.7    9.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    39    61   100    9.3    9.5    8.0    0.8   70.0   66.0    7.9    8.5    9.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    39    61   100    8.9    9.1    8.8    0.8   69.7   65.4    7.3    8.1    8.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    37    63   100    7.8    7.9    8.1    0.9   71.3   67.5    6.3    7.2    7.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    35    65   100    8.4    8.6    7.9    1.0   73.2   68.6    7.1    7.8    8.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    37    63   100    9.7    9.2    9.2    0.7   68.0   63.8    8.5    8.9    9.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    40    60   100    9.5    9.5   10.1    0.8   70.2   66.1    8.7    8.9    9.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100    9.9   10.2    8.4    1.0   72.9   68.1    8.4    9.0    9.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100    8.9    9.2   10.3    0.6   65.3   60.3    8.1    8.5    9.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    40    60   100    8.3    8.0    7.4    0.9   69.5   66.5    6.8    7.7    8.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    78    22   100    8.8    8.6   10.7    0.6   63.9   60.3    8.0    8.4    8.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    36    64   100    4.7    4.6    5.9    1.0   71.4   67.1    3.0    4.2    4.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100    8.6    9.0   10.5    0.8   68.2   64.1    7.3    8.3    9.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100    8.0    8.2   10.4    0.5   63.5   60.2    7.3    7.5    8.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    77    23   100    8.6    8.7   10.6    0.5   64.3   60.1    7.6    8.3    8.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    41    59   100    8.8    8.6    9.1    0.8   68.4   65.4    7.8    8.1    8.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100    9.0    9.8   10.3    0.9   68.7   64.2    8.1    8.7    9.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    31    69   100    8.7    8.8    7.7    1.2   73.0   70.4    7.4    8.1    8.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    79    21   100    9.2   10.1   10.8    0.9   68.3   64.2    8.0    8.8    9.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    40    60   100    7.9    8.0    9.0    1.0   71.9   68.1    7.0    7.4    7.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    39    61   100    7.4    7.4    6.8    0.8   69.3   65.7    5.7    6.3    7.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100    9.2    9.2   10.9    0.6   63.9   61.0    8.2    8.8    9.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------