***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.09.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.10.2013.-13.10.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    75    25   100 9999.0    0.0    7.7   81.8   60.6   45.5 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100    8.7   12.0    8.5   91.5   63.1   47.8    1.4    5.8   12.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   12.1    8.8    7.8   81.1   57.2   45.4    0.6    8.2   15.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    56    44     0   100    5.3   13.5    9.4   76.2   57.8   43.0    3.7   10.4   16.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    56    44     0   100    2.1   10.1    9.3   81.8   58.3   44.6    1.5    4.3   18.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    75    25   100   13.3   19.1   11.7   84.4   61.4   44.1    3.1    8.9   21.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100    8.9   13.3    8.9   94.6   63.0   48.5    0.6    6.2   13.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    56    44     0   100    7.4   16.9    9.8   76.7   58.1   43.0    7.9   13.4   22.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100    3.2   12.2    8.9   83.0   59.3   45.2    1.5    6.8   17.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    54    46     0   100    4.3   13.4    9.6   80.1   57.9   44.4    1.6    9.2   18.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    57    43     0   100    2.0   13.5    8.9   79.6   61.6   43.5    0.9    4.6   15.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    58    42     0   100    3.9   14.2    8.7   77.3   61.2   42.8    1.6    9.3   14.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100    3.0   16.5   10.0   81.3   61.6   42.9    3.8    5.8   20.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    58    42     0   100    2.9   10.1    9.2   76.1   54.2   44.0    1.2    7.0   22.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    58    42     0   100    1.4    4.3    8.5   66.2   57.7   40.3    1.3    3.3    9.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100    2.6   12.1    9.5   78.4   62.7   42.3    0.9    6.0   13.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01    52    48     0   100    1.7   10.5    8.5   92.8   63.8   49.4    0.4    3.6   11.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    5.6   13.7   10.0   76.4   56.0   44.4    2.1   11.3   24.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100    8.7    8.5    8.2   87.2   61.7   46.8    0.9    4.7   12.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    56    44     0   100    6.0   13.3   12.6   72.7   54.2   43.3    4.1   12.0   19.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    53    47     0   100    4.3   14.5    8.1   80.4   58.8   44.4    4.0    8.9   19.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    54    46     0   100    3.0   14.9    8.7   94.2   65.4   49.1    0.1    6.6   15.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    75    25   100    8.7   10.8    7.8   79.6   59.6   45.7    0.5    4.1   12.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100    2.0    7.9    8.8   77.0   56.5   44.9    0.9    3.9   18.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    55    45     0   100    3.6   13.5    9.0   81.0   59.1   44.5    2.0    8.1   14.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    51    49     0   100    5.1   20.6    9.4   83.8   62.6   44.8    5.6   10.4   21.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100    1.7    8.4    8.8   84.9   61.3   46.2    0.6    3.8   11.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    58    42     0   100    1.3    8.5    9.4   72.6   59.0   41.6    0.8    2.8   12.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    53    47     0   100    8.5   20.1   10.7   72.6   55.0   43.6    4.1   17.5   25.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100    8.3   10.4    8.4   89.1   61.0   46.9    0.8    5.5   11.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------