***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 06.09.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 10.09.2018.-16.09.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    46    54   100   13.1   12.6   15.6    1.2   66.3   66.5   10.3   12.4   12.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    31    69   100   12.7   12.3   15.5    1.4   69.6   70.2   10.8   11.9   12.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    26    74   100   15.2   15.3   16.0    1.5   72.6   72.3   13.0   14.0   14.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    13    87   100   11.8   12.5   13.7    1.8   83.2   80.7    8.5    9.6   10.3   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    40    60   100   11.5   11.6   13.9    1.1   69.1   67.7    9.3   10.4   11.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    33    67   100   10.8   11.1   11.2    1.3   72.6   71.7    8.0    9.7   10.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    22    78   100   12.9   13.0   15.7    1.5   71.9   72.0   10.9   11.7   12.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    31    69   100    6.9    7.1   11.4    1.4   74.0   72.7    4.3    5.8    6.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    38    62   100   12.6   12.7   13.9    1.3   69.4   68.8   11.1   12.0   12.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    26    74   100   12.6   12.8   12.4    1.5   75.4   74.0   10.2   11.5   12.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    27    73   100   12.0   12.2   13.5    1.4   73.4   73.1    9.6   11.1   11.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    36    64   100   10.6   10.9   12.4    1.3   71.3   70.7    8.3    9.8   10.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    92     8   100   10.3   10.9   11.9    0.9   60.0   61.6    8.8   10.2   11.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    43    57   100   12.9   12.7   13.5    1.2   68.3   68.2   10.9   12.2   12.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     4    96   100   13.7   14.7   15.7    2.2   87.7   86.8   10.6   12.4   13.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    46    54   100   12.6   12.5   12.7    1.1   66.6   67.1   10.5   11.5   12.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    23    77   100   13.6   13.1   15.3    1.5   72.5   73.0   11.2   12.0   12.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    33    67   100   11.5   11.4   11.7    1.3   72.3   72.4    8.9   10.2   11.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    30    70   100   12.8   12.6   15.5    1.4   69.7   70.4   10.9   11.9   12.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    46    54   100    7.3    7.3    9.8    1.0   64.6   66.0    5.0    6.2    7.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    40    60   100   12.2   12.2   15.0    1.2   67.7   68.0   10.5   11.4   12.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    37    63   100   12.1   12.1   15.3    1.2   68.7   68.5   10.1   11.3   12.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    22    78   100   12.4   12.5   15.5    1.4   71.8   72.3   10.5   11.4   11.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    29    71   100   12.7   12.6   13.8    1.5   74.3   73.9   10.4   11.1   12.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    90    10   100   12.1   12.4   14.6    0.8   61.2   61.2   10.6   11.9   12.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    90    10   100   10.3   10.9   11.1    0.8   59.5   60.8    9.1   10.1   11.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    89    11   100   12.5   12.7   15.0    1.0   63.0   63.2   10.9   12.4   13.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    12    88   100   11.8   12.4   14.1    2.0   83.8   82.0    8.5   10.8   11.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    88    12   100    9.5   10.4   10.7    1.1   65.4   66.9    8.5    9.2   10.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    28    72   100   13.0   12.9   15.8    1.4   70.3   70.8   11.1   12.2   12.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------