***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 03.09.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.09.2020.-27.09.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100    9.3   14.5   10.8  102.3   66.6   56.8    2.4    5.8   14.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    83    17   100    6.7    9.2    9.6   97.3   64.1   55.0    1.9    4.9    9.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100    9.2   10.7   10.5   97.5   66.3   54.7    3.5    6.8   10.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   11.0   12.4   12.6  107.3   66.0   55.4    2.4    6.7   12.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100    7.1    9.7   11.1  101.6   65.5   53.9    1.6    4.9   10.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    79    21   100    4.6    5.5   12.8  103.9   65.1   53.1    0.8    3.1    5.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    83    17   100    5.0    6.8    9.2   94.8   64.8   55.3    2.1    2.8    7.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100   12.7   11.7   12.1  105.4   64.3   54.7    4.5    9.5   12.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100    6.2    8.2   10.7   94.3   63.7   53.6    1.7    3.2    9.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   10.2   11.8   11.8   96.1   62.2   53.7    1.1    6.7   18.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100    5.5    6.0   10.5  104.0   64.2   54.0    1.0    3.3    6.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100    5.8    7.1   10.6  108.8   65.6   55.0    1.0    4.3    7.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100    6.3    7.4   11.6  107.2   64.2   54.4    1.2    3.7    7.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100    8.0   12.0   13.1   93.9   61.4   53.5    1.3    4.9   13.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100    1.3   12.2   12.6  117.1   69.3   56.1    1.1    2.8   10.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100    4.3    5.1   11.0  105.9   64.6   54.2    1.8    2.8    5.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    83    17   100    5.0    6.9   10.4  106.7   64.2   57.1    0.9    3.3    7.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100    8.1   10.1   12.8   95.3   62.2   52.0    2.2    5.3   12.2   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    82    18   100    7.2    6.4   10.0   98.8   64.8   54.7    1.9    4.1    7.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   12.5   13.4   15.6  106.4   66.0   53.9    3.2    8.7   13.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    78    22   100    8.0    8.0   10.5   95.2   64.9   54.2    2.2    4.8    8.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    82    18   100    8.0   10.8   12.0  113.7   65.9   56.5    0.6    5.8   10.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    81    19   100    8.0   13.9   10.4   96.9   64.4   54.5    2.7    4.6   14.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    80    20   100    7.6    8.3   11.9   93.2   61.8   53.0    1.8    5.0    9.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100    9.4   10.9   12.2  103.6   67.2   56.0    2.6    7.8   10.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    6.3    8.9   12.0  121.2   68.3   56.0    1.0    3.2    7.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100    8.6   15.1   11.6  104.5   67.2   56.6    3.6    5.9   15.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    77    23   100    6.8    9.0   12.3  112.1   67.2   55.4    0.3    4.8    8.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   14.5   17.6   13.6   98.0   61.1   52.4    4.2    8.9   19.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    82    18   100    7.0    9.2    9.7   94.7   65.1   55.1    1.1    4.9    9.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------