***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 03.09.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.09.2020.-13.09.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    18    82   100   12.9   14.0   16.9    2.3   86.1   80.4    9.6   11.4   12.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    33    67   100   12.8   13.7   16.0    1.7   77.8   74.1   10.1   10.9   12.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    28    72   100   14.8   15.4   16.6    1.8   81.6   76.6   12.9   14.1   14.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    22    78   100   11.0   11.9   14.0    2.0   83.2   79.4    8.5    9.4   10.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    23    77   100   11.8   12.7   14.9    1.9   82.2   78.2    8.9    9.7   11.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    11    89   100   10.9   12.0   12.3    2.2   86.1   83.0    8.5    9.7    9.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    33    67   100   12.6   13.0   16.0    1.7   77.2   73.8   10.8   11.6   12.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    19    81   100    6.8    8.8   12.6    2.2   90.0   82.9    4.6    5.4    6.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    33    67   100   12.9   13.6   14.8    1.7   79.6   76.3   10.4   11.5   12.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    23    77   100   12.8   13.8   13.2    2.0   85.6   79.5   10.3   11.1   12.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    25    75   100   12.5   13.2   14.5    1.7   81.7   77.0    9.8   10.5   11.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    19    81   100   10.8   12.0   13.7    2.2   89.0   82.6    8.0    9.2   10.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    38    62   100   11.4   11.7   12.8    1.4   71.8   71.0    8.9   10.3   11.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    26    74   100   13.2   14.5   14.6    1.9   86.3   78.6   11.3   12.0   12.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    24    76   100   13.6   14.2   16.2    2.0   82.7   80.2   10.9   12.4   13.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    31    69   100   12.9   13.3   13.7    1.6   76.8   74.8   10.7   11.4   12.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    41    59   100   13.0   13.6   15.5    1.6   76.3   72.7   11.4   12.0   12.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    21    79   100   11.1   13.4   12.7    2.0   87.6   80.8    8.8   10.0   10.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    34    66   100   12.8   13.3   16.1    1.7   77.8   74.0   10.5   11.7   12.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    16    84   100    8.1    9.5   11.1    2.3   89.5   83.7    5.0    5.7    7.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    26    74   100   12.5   13.5   16.0    1.9   82.8   78.5    9.9   10.9   12.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    42    58   100   12.1   12.9   15.8    1.6   76.5   72.9   10.1   10.9   12.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    32    68   100   12.5   13.2   16.1    1.7   78.2   74.4    9.9   10.9   12.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    25    75   100   12.8   14.2   14.6    1.8   85.2   77.5   10.6   11.3   12.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    17    83   100   13.2   14.3   16.3    2.3   85.4   80.8    9.7   10.8   12.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    29    71   100   11.5   12.5   12.3    1.8   82.0   77.4    9.5   10.3   11.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    18    82   100   14.0   15.4   16.5    2.3   85.9   80.8    9.6   11.3   12.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    26    74   100   11.3   12.1   14.5    1.9   81.6   79.1    8.8    9.9   10.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    20    80   100   10.7   12.0   12.0    2.0   87.0   80.4    8.7    9.2   10.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    30    70   100   13.4   14.3   16.4    1.8   80.0   75.5   10.5   11.9   12.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------