***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 01.09.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 12.09.2016.-18.09.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    80    20   100   12.2   13.0   15.2    0.7   61.5   59.6   11.2   11.9   13.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    38    62   100   12.6   12.8   15.0    0.8   68.8   62.6   10.4   11.0   12.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100   14.2   15.0   15.5    0.8   66.5   61.6   12.5   13.8   15.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    83    17   100   10.1   10.3   12.6    0.8   60.1   61.3    7.8    9.8   10.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   10.9   11.2   13.1    0.6   58.6   58.3   10.0   10.6   11.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    79    21   100    9.8    9.7   10.5    0.4   56.8   56.3    8.9    9.6   10.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    38    62   100   13.0   13.3   15.1    0.7   68.2   62.2   10.8   11.7   13.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100    6.0    6.5   10.9    0.6   61.1   60.0    4.7    5.6    6.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100   12.2   12.1   13.2    0.4   55.4   57.0   11.1   11.8   12.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   11.7   11.9   11.7    0.6   59.7   59.1   10.7   11.3   12.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   11.3   11.5   12.8    0.6   61.8   60.0   10.0   11.1   11.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100    9.8    9.8   11.7    0.5   59.5   57.8    9.0    9.5   10.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    80    20   100   10.1   10.1   11.0    0.2   55.1   52.0    9.3    9.8   10.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100   12.2   12.1   13.0    0.4   56.0   56.9   11.0   11.8   13.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    81    19   100   11.9   11.9   14.2    0.7   59.4   60.1   11.2   11.6   12.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100   11.8   11.8   12.0    0.5   58.8   56.5   10.6   11.4   12.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    34    66   100   13.3   13.4   14.8    0.9   71.3   64.3   11.0   12.1   12.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100   10.3   10.9   11.1    0.5   61.8   58.4    9.2    9.9   11.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    35    65   100   12.8   13.3   15.1    0.9   69.6   63.8   10.8   11.4   13.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100    6.7    6.7    9.2    0.5   60.4   58.6    5.5    6.4    7.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   11.6   11.6   14.5    0.5   56.3   57.9   10.3   11.3   12.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    32    68   100   12.3   12.3   15.0    0.9   69.2   64.6    9.8   10.6   12.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    33    67   100   12.3   12.8   15.2    1.0   70.4   65.3   10.1   11.3   12.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   11.8   11.9   13.1    0.5   60.9   58.5   10.6   11.4   12.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100   12.1   12.0   14.1    0.7   55.4   59.4   10.8   11.9   12.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100   10.5   10.2   10.4    0.0   52.0   49.1    9.7   10.2   11.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    80    20   100   12.3   12.4   14.6    0.7   59.2   59.7   10.5   11.9   13.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    81    19   100   10.2   10.3   12.9    0.6   58.8   59.0    9.2   10.0   10.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   10.0   10.4   10.5    0.6   62.4   59.4    7.8    9.6   10.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    39    61   100   13.2   13.3   15.2    0.8   66.1   61.7   11.1   12.0   13.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------