***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 27.08.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.09.2020.-13.09.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    42    58   100   12.5   12.7   16.2    1.2   68.6   64.6    9.6   11.4   12.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    38    62   100   12.6   12.9   15.7    1.1   67.9   63.9   10.1   10.9   12.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    43    57   100   14.7   14.7   16.2    1.0   66.6   63.1   12.9   14.1   14.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    36    64   100   10.7   10.9   13.9    1.5   71.0   69.4    8.5    9.4   10.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    42    58   100   11.2   11.5   14.1    1.0   64.1   63.7    8.9    9.7   11.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    36    64   100   10.6   10.8   12.1    1.4   73.6   70.2    8.5    9.7    9.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    39    61   100   12.5   12.7   15.9    1.1   68.2   63.7   10.8   11.6   12.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    42    58   100    6.4    6.4   11.6    0.9   64.9   63.4    4.6    5.4    6.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    80    20   100   11.9   12.5   14.1    0.9   63.8   62.5   10.4   11.5   12.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    41    59   100   12.4   11.9   12.4    0.9   64.9   63.5   10.3   11.1   12.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    81    19   100   11.0   11.4   13.5    0.8   62.8   61.6    9.8   10.5   11.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100    9.6   10.3   12.6    0.9   62.6   62.3    8.0    9.2   10.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    41    59   100   11.3   11.2   12.3    0.9   63.2   62.8    8.9   10.3   11.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    81    19   100   12.3   12.8   13.8    0.9   66.7   63.3   11.3   12.0   12.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    34    66   100   13.5   13.8   15.7    1.4   70.1   69.6   10.9   12.4   13.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    39    61   100   12.7   12.5   13.1    1.0   65.5   64.4   10.7   11.4   12.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    39    61   100   13.0   12.8   15.5    1.1   69.3   64.6   11.4   12.0   12.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    42    58   100   10.8   10.9   11.6    0.9   64.6   63.1    8.8   10.0   10.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    39    61   100   12.7   12.6   15.8    1.0   66.6   63.2   10.5   11.7   12.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    36    64   100    7.5    7.5    9.9    0.9   64.9   63.5    5.0    5.7    7.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    42    58   100   12.2   12.6   15.4    1.1   66.5   64.4    9.9   10.9   12.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    40    60   100   12.1   12.6   15.6    1.1   68.3   64.7   10.1   10.9   12.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    41    59   100   12.3   12.4   15.8    0.9   65.2   62.9    9.9   10.9   12.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    43    57   100   12.4   12.2   13.7    0.9   64.8   63.0   10.6   11.3   12.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    42    58   100   12.5   12.3   15.3    1.2   67.0   65.1    9.7   10.8   12.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    43    57   100   11.3   11.4   12.0    1.1   64.3   65.1    9.5   10.3   11.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    42    58   100   13.2   12.6   15.8    1.2   67.8   65.2    9.6   11.3   12.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    34    66   100   11.1   11.2   14.3    1.5   70.9   69.6    8.8    9.9   10.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    80    20   100    9.6    9.9   10.9    0.8   63.4   62.0    8.7    9.2   10.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    39    61   100   13.2   12.8   16.0    1.0   67.2   63.1   10.5   11.9   12.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------