***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.08.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.08.2017.-17.09.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    55    45     0   100   12.6   12.9   16.2   -0.1   47.2   48.4   12.6   12.9   13.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   12.9   12.7   15.8   -0.2   45.1   45.7   12.3   12.7   13.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    75    25   100   15.1   14.9   16.4    0.0   51.0   50.6   14.4   14.9   15.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   10.9   10.9   14.1    0.3   60.8   56.6    9.8   10.6   11.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    55    45     0   100   11.1   11.6   14.0   -0.1   48.3   49.3   11.3   11.6   11.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   10.9   10.8   12.0    0.1   54.1   53.5   10.3   10.8   11.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   13.2   13.1   16.1   -0.1   49.1   48.6   12.8   13.1   13.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    54    46     0   100    5.6    6.2   11.7   -0.1   44.2   47.0    6.0    6.3    6.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    76    24   100   13.0   12.9   14.2    0.0   52.6   51.6   12.6   12.9   13.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    56    44     0   100   11.9   12.5   12.5   -0.1   44.9   47.1   12.3   12.7   12.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100   11.5   12.1   13.5   -0.1   45.4   48.3   11.8   12.3   12.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100   10.2   10.6   12.6    0.0   49.6   50.1   10.1   10.6   11.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100   11.0   11.3   12.1   -0.2   40.1   44.5   11.2   11.5   11.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    51    49     0   100   12.6   13.1   14.0   -0.1   48.7   49.3   12.9   13.1   13.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    33    67   100   14.2   14.1   15.7    0.6   70.2   66.0   13.2   13.7   14.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   13.1   12.9   13.0    0.0   49.3   50.2   12.6   12.9   13.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100   13.3   13.2   15.6   -0.2   45.1   46.3   12.9   13.2   13.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16    57    43     0   100   10.5   10.9   11.8   -0.1   46.9   47.2   10.7   10.9   11.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   13.0   12.9   16.0   -0.1   47.8   47.9   12.6   12.9   13.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    59    41     0   100    6.8    7.3    9.8   -0.2   39.9   43.1    6.9    7.4    7.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    75    25   100   12.6   12.6   15.4   -0.1   48.8   48.5   12.3   12.6   12.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   12.5   12.3   15.6   -0.2   44.6   46.1   12.1   12.4   12.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    77    23   100   12.4   12.3   16.1    0.1   53.9   53.6   12.1   12.3   12.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100   12.7   12.6   14.0    0.1   54.1   52.0   12.2   12.5   13.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    55    45     0   100   12.3   12.6   15.0   -0.2   45.0   46.6   12.4   12.6   12.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   11.8   11.7   11.9   -0.1   47.3   49.5   11.3   11.7   12.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100   12.4   12.8   15.5   -0.1   46.4   47.8   12.5   12.9   13.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    38    62   100   11.9   11.7   14.4    0.4   64.1   60.9   10.8   11.4   11.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    57    43     0   100    9.6    9.9   11.1   -0.2   42.3   44.5    9.7   10.2   10.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   13.4   13.3   16.2   -0.1   47.0   47.6   13.0   13.3   13.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------