***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 16.08.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 20.08.2018.-26.08.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     5    95   100   16.0   17.4   20.1    2.1   88.1   85.6   14.4   15.3   15.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     7    93   100   16.4   17.4   19.6    2.0   86.4   83.8   14.4   15.0   15.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    11    89   100   18.8   19.1   19.8    1.7   83.7   81.2   16.5   17.4   18.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    30    70   100   14.3   14.6   16.8    0.9   73.1   71.1   11.8   13.3   13.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    33    67   100   14.1   14.1   17.1    0.8   71.2   69.7   12.8   13.4   14.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    91     9   100   12.8   12.8   13.7    0.1   52.2   53.0   12.2   12.8   13.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     4    96   100   16.9   17.7   20.1    2.2   88.0   86.1   14.5   15.1   15.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    87    13   100    8.3    8.8   14.1    0.5   62.0   62.1    7.5    8.1    9.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    17    83   100   16.2   15.9   17.2    1.0   73.7   73.3   13.8   14.8   15.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    37    63   100   15.2   15.1   15.3    0.8   68.8   68.7   13.9   14.6   14.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    45    55   100   14.7   14.6   16.5    0.8   67.2   67.5   13.3   13.9   14.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    87    13   100   12.3   12.9   15.3    0.5   63.1   63.2   11.6   12.2   13.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    88    12   100   13.6   13.7   14.9    0.4   56.4   57.7   12.6   13.4   14.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    32    68   100   16.2   15.8   16.8    0.9   72.9   71.6   14.3   15.2   15.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    17    83   100   16.6   16.7   18.8    1.4   77.8   77.5   14.9   15.8   16.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    90    10   100   15.2   15.3   15.7    0.5   59.0   59.6   14.4   15.0   15.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0     6    94   100   17.3   17.9   19.6    2.2   87.3   85.7   14.7   15.5   16.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    86    14   100   13.0   13.0   14.5    0.6   64.5   64.3   12.0   12.8   13.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0     8    92   100   16.7   17.3   19.5    1.8   85.4   82.6   14.1   14.9   15.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    89    11   100    8.8    9.1   12.4    0.3   57.1   57.3    8.4    8.7    9.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    18    82   100   15.2   15.3   18.3    1.1   76.8   74.4   13.7   14.5   14.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0     5    95   100   15.7   16.4   19.7    2.1   86.2   84.8   13.7   14.1   14.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    10    90   100   15.8   16.3   19.4    1.7   84.7   81.8   13.5   14.3   14.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    31    69   100   15.7   15.4   16.8    0.9   71.9   71.3   14.1   14.9   15.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    13    87   100   15.9   16.1   18.4    1.2   78.7   75.7   13.6   14.4   15.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    91     9   100   13.9   13.8   13.8    0.1   49.7   51.1   13.3   13.8   14.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    10    90   100   16.6   17.0   19.1    1.6   83.4   80.3   14.1   14.8   16.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100   13.9   13.8   17.0    0.9   69.3   68.3   12.8   13.3   13.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    87    13   100   12.6   13.5   13.6    0.5   62.9   62.5   11.4   12.4   13.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0     5    95   100   17.1   17.9   20.1    2.1   87.4   84.9   14.5   15.2   16.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------