***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 13.08.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.09.2015.-13.09.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100    5.4   16.7    8.5  139.1   74.9   59.6    0.6    1.8   12.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    75    25   100    8.1   21.6    9.8  158.5   79.9   58.4    1.8    4.3   11.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100    6.6   13.9    8.7  137.5   72.0   56.7    1.2    3.2    9.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100    9.7   17.8   10.9  149.2   74.2   58.2    1.0    6.7   13.2   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100    1.5   14.9   11.4  150.1   78.3   56.1    1.4    3.0    6.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100    5.5   11.2   15.2  139.7   75.1   56.3    1.4    3.4    7.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    54    46     0   100    1.8   16.2   10.1  154.6   77.2   57.5    0.8    4.0    9.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100   13.8   27.3   12.6  145.4   72.8   58.2    2.3    9.8   18.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    76    24   100    7.0   14.8   11.1  138.4   76.4   54.7    1.0    3.5    7.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100    7.6   13.3   12.6  136.4   72.7   56.3    2.7    5.1   10.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    75    25   100    6.9   18.5   10.6  170.4   80.6   59.3    0.3    3.3   11.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100    8.4   14.4   10.4  166.6   79.3   59.6    1.7    7.1   10.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100    5.3   12.1   11.3  148.2   76.3   58.4    0.2    3.4    6.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   10.5   32.2   12.3  149.8   77.1   58.7    2.1    3.3    9.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100    4.4   12.2    9.8  153.0   77.8   58.3    0.2    1.9    3.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100    9.5   12.8   11.0  166.5   79.7   59.3    0.4    4.6    8.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01    54    46     0   100    1.6   23.5    9.7  146.4   77.3   55.7    1.6    3.3   13.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100    8.6   17.0   13.5  123.9   69.2   55.3    1.8    5.1   14.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    75    25   100    9.6   24.0    9.3  158.3   78.9   57.9    1.3    5.4   14.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100   13.8   17.8   15.8  118.4   64.3   55.4    4.4   10.4   18.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    78    22   100    7.3   10.8    8.9  130.2   73.8   56.5    1.6    5.2    8.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    75    25   100    9.8   17.6    8.9  131.3   72.6   55.4    2.5    6.4   14.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    75    25   100    8.7   25.3    9.5  163.9   80.3   58.8    1.3    3.4   10.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100    7.2   11.2   11.5  134.2   72.6   56.4    1.4    2.6    8.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    78    22   100    5.7   11.9   10.5  135.7   72.8   58.1    1.3    3.4    7.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    4.0   11.2    9.6  148.4   78.1   59.1    0.3    1.8    6.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100    6.2   16.6   10.4  139.5   74.4   59.5    1.7    3.0   12.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100    4.1   11.7   10.9  157.7   77.7   58.6    0.6    1.7    6.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    78    22   100   18.7   25.5   14.1  122.0   68.6   56.0    6.1   14.3   22.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100    6.2   13.7    9.7  156.9   77.8   59.4    2.0    3.8   10.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------