***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 06.08.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 10.08.2015.-06.09.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100   27.0   41.5   20.7   70.1   47.0   40.6   22.7   42.5   62.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    61    39     0   100   24.7   27.9   21.4   63.3   42.5   37.3   22.8   35.3   59.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00    61    39     0   100   29.5   45.7   20.1   68.9   48.2   40.0   29.5   47.3   68.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    61    39     0   100   36.4   51.3   25.7   80.6   54.0   41.9   40.4   51.0   62.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    63    37     0   100   25.1   47.7   24.4   77.9   53.3   40.1   22.4   43.0   54.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    58    42     0   100   28.7   45.2   37.3   87.8   53.2   44.1   26.4   40.3   54.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    57    43     0   100   25.5   31.0   21.5   61.6   43.0   37.1   23.9   35.3   53.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    56    44     0   100   48.6   77.5   33.8   98.8   57.1   48.7   54.4   69.0   90.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    61    39     0   100   27.3   44.1   24.4   79.4   54.2   41.8   28.2   39.3   59.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    60    40     0   100   36.8   49.1   31.4   85.8   51.3   43.7   38.7   46.7   63.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100   31.1   49.4   23.8   88.9   59.0   44.5   25.4   47.2   51.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    58    42     0   100   27.0   50.4   25.6  102.1   61.0   48.8   34.2   43.7   53.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    57    43     0   100   27.3   45.1   28.7   91.1   56.3   44.7   26.8   40.8   52.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    55    45     0   100   42.3   54.6   31.8   79.8   48.8   42.6   41.3   55.3   70.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    63    37     0   100   17.2   25.9   21.8   71.9   49.1   40.2   15.5   26.5   45.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    60    40     0   100   25.4   43.8   25.5   87.2   55.8   43.3   36.5   42.6   49.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01    57    43     0   100   28.0   33.5   23.5   63.9   42.0   37.2   25.6   42.0   51.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16    58    42     0   100   32.6   45.0   36.4   85.6   49.6   44.0   39.3   45.0   54.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    57    43     0   100   26.4   33.4   20.7   64.8   44.3   38.5   22.8   42.5   62.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    52    48     0   100   42.2   60.0   46.3  100.6   58.3   50.8   45.9   55.1   70.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    58    42     0   100   25.0   41.0   20.4   74.6   51.4   41.6   25.3   39.3   65.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    75    25   100   53.0   43.6   23.3   65.0   41.3   37.1   35.3   47.3   56.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    55    45     0   100   29.3   36.3   20.9   68.9   48.1   40.8   23.8   41.9   58.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    59    41     0   100   37.2   55.0   29.4   79.3   50.5   42.6   41.8   54.9   66.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    60    40     0   100   25.3   39.7   24.8   71.7   49.1   39.1   26.2   40.8   48.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    55    45     0   100   26.1   34.7   24.8   91.7   53.5   46.5   26.6   33.1   42.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    57    43     0   100   29.0   39.1   23.8   68.5   46.1   39.0   23.4   46.6   60.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    63    37     0   100   20.4   36.3   24.7   79.9   53.7   41.2   20.8   33.9   43.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    58    42     0   100   45.5   68.4   38.2   87.9   51.1   45.7   58.7   67.8   82.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    59    41     0   100   26.5   29.8   20.5   63.6   44.7   37.5   24.3   39.0   52.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------