***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.08.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 20.08.2018.-26.08.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    40    60   100   15.8   15.7   18.3    1.0   66.6   64.3   14.4   15.3   15.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    42    58   100   15.9   15.8   18.3    1.2   70.2   66.5   14.4   15.0   15.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    41    59   100   18.3   18.3   18.4    0.9   66.1   64.5   16.5   17.4   18.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    36    64   100   14.2   13.8   15.8    0.9   67.5   64.3   11.8   13.3   13.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    40    60   100   14.0   14.0   15.4    0.6   63.9   61.0   12.8   13.4   14.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    37    63   100   13.3   13.1   13.7    0.6   62.9   61.0   12.2   12.8   13.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    41    59   100   16.2   16.0   18.4    1.2   69.9   67.0   14.5   15.1   15.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    81    19   100    8.4    8.6   13.2    0.5   59.1   58.9    7.5    8.1    9.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    39    61   100   15.8   15.4   15.5    0.6   63.8   60.7   13.8   14.8   15.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    81    19   100   14.8   14.7   14.0    0.5   60.7   59.9   13.9   14.6   14.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    38    62   100   14.8   14.4   14.9    0.6   64.8   61.9   13.3   13.9   14.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    39    61   100   12.9   12.9   14.0    0.6   63.2   60.9   11.6   12.2   13.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    37    63   100   14.1   14.0   13.4    0.5   62.1   60.5   12.6   13.4   14.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    42    58   100   16.0   15.7   15.7    0.7   65.6   62.9   14.3   15.2   15.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    33    67   100   16.4   16.3   17.2    1.0   70.5   66.8   14.9   15.8   16.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    36    64   100   15.8   15.5   14.5    0.7   65.1   62.6   14.4   15.0   15.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    41    59   100   16.6   16.7   18.1    1.2   70.3   67.5   14.7   15.5   16.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    37    63   100   13.7   13.0   13.3    0.7   64.0   62.4   12.0   12.8   13.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    43    57   100   16.0   15.9   18.2    1.0   68.8   65.5   14.1   14.9   15.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100    9.0    9.1   11.0    0.4   56.4   57.7    8.4    8.7    9.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    42    58   100   15.0   14.7   17.0    0.6   63.2   60.5   13.7   14.5   14.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    46    54   100   15.0   14.7   17.9    1.1   69.1   66.4   13.7   14.1   14.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    43    57   100   15.3   15.0   17.9    0.9   67.2   64.3   13.5   14.3   14.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    38    62   100   15.6   15.2   15.5    0.8   66.8   64.3   14.1   14.9   15.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    41    59   100   15.4   15.4   16.6    0.7   64.0   60.9   13.6   14.4   15.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    42    58   100   14.3   14.4   13.5    0.8   66.7   63.1   13.3   13.8   14.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    38    62   100   16.0   16.1   17.4    0.9   66.4   63.2   14.1   14.8   16.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    35    65   100   14.0   13.8   16.1    0.8   67.0   64.0   12.8   13.3   13.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    42    58   100   13.4   13.2   12.6    0.5   60.7   60.3   11.4   12.4   13.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    41    59   100   16.4   16.5   18.5    1.1   69.1   66.5   14.5   15.2   16.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------