***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 25.07.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 05.08.2019.-11.08.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100   16.4   16.4   19.0    0.1   52.8   52.3   15.5   16.3   16.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100   16.3   16.2   18.8    0.1   54.1   52.3   15.5   16.1   16.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    81    19   100   18.4   18.4   19.3    0.1   54.4   52.8   17.5   18.3   18.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100   13.5   13.3   16.7    0.2   54.2   53.6   13.0   13.2   13.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100   15.3   15.2   17.0    0.1   53.2   51.9   14.2   15.1   15.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    75    25   100   13.9   13.9   14.6    0.2   56.5   54.1   13.3   13.8   14.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    82    18   100   16.4   16.2   18.8    0.0   51.8   50.6   15.8   16.2   16.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100    9.4    8.8   14.3   -0.2   47.2   46.2    8.5    9.0    9.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   16.3   16.3   17.1    0.1   55.3   53.4   15.3   16.1   16.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    79    21   100   16.0   15.9   15.3    0.0   51.9   50.0   15.6   15.9   16.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    51    49     0   100   14.7   15.4   16.4   -0.3   45.3   45.8   15.0   15.7   16.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    77    23   100   13.9   13.6   15.5   -0.2   46.4   46.9   13.1   13.7   14.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    53    47     0   100   14.0   15.0   15.1   -0.1   47.1   48.4   14.5   15.1   15.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    81    19   100   16.8   16.7   16.7    0.0   50.4   50.2   16.1   16.7   17.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    78    22   100   17.0   16.7   18.3   -0.1   48.5   48.4   16.2   16.8   17.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100   15.6   16.6   16.0    0.0   51.8   51.0   15.8   16.6   16.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    83    17   100   17.0   17.0   18.6    0.2   54.1   53.3   15.9   16.9   17.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100   14.6   14.4   14.4    0.0   51.9   49.6   14.0   14.3   15.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    82    18   100   16.4   16.3   18.9    0.1   54.9   52.1   15.7   16.2   16.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100   10.5   10.2   12.4   -0.1   51.3   48.7    9.6   10.2   10.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100   16.0   16.0   18.3    0.0   53.5   51.9   15.0   15.8   16.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    82    18   100   16.0   16.0   18.7    0.2   55.3   53.4   15.1   15.8   16.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    83    17   100   15.8   15.7   18.9    0.0   53.5   50.3   14.8   15.6   16.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   16.8   16.7   16.6    0.0   53.7   50.5   15.8   16.6   17.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100   16.2   15.9   17.9    0.1   54.0   51.9   15.1   15.9   16.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    54    46     0   100   14.3   15.2   14.7    0.2   57.0   53.7   14.5   15.1   15.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    80    20   100   16.2   16.1   18.5    0.2   56.3   53.7   14.9   15.7   17.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100   15.0   15.0   17.1    0.1   54.1   52.6   14.2   14.8   15.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   13.6   13.3   13.7   -0.1   49.8   47.9   12.4   13.3   13.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    81    19   100   16.4   16.2   19.1    0.1   52.9   51.6   15.4   16.1   17.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------