***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 24.07.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 04.08.2014.-10.08.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    80    20   100   16.8   16.0   18.4   -0.2   44.5   47.8   15.5   16.6   17.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100   16.6   16.4   18.7    0.1   52.6   53.2   15.6   16.3   16.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100   18.7   18.4   18.3   -0.1   48.5   49.3   17.3   18.4   18.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    83    17   100   13.7   13.2   16.4   -0.5   46.1   43.2   12.4   13.3   14.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    83    17   100   15.3   15.1   16.3   -0.3   50.2   46.8   13.9   15.1   15.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    81    19   100   14.0   13.8   14.9   -0.4   43.9   44.0   13.3   13.9   14.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100   16.9   16.6   18.7    0.0   51.6   52.1   15.8   16.6   17.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    80    20   100    9.6    9.0   14.4   -0.5   45.2   42.6    8.7    9.3   10.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   16.4   16.2   16.5   -0.2   51.3   48.3   15.7   16.2   16.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   16.3   16.0   15.0   -0.3   48.8   45.9   15.5   16.1   16.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    82    18   100   15.7   15.6   15.9   -0.2   50.2   47.0   14.9   15.5   16.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    81    19   100   14.1   13.8   15.4   -0.4   45.5   42.8   13.2   13.9   14.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    82    18   100   15.3   15.1   15.1   -0.3   46.9   46.2   14.1   15.2   15.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    83    17   100   17.1   17.1   16.6   -0.1   53.0   50.3   16.1   17.0   17.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    83    17   100   17.1   16.4   17.0   -0.7   41.5   39.4   16.2   16.9   17.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    82    18   100   16.6   16.4   15.8   -0.3   47.9   45.5   16.1   16.4   16.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    80    20   100   17.3   17.6   18.6    0.5   62.2   59.4   16.1   17.1   17.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    80    20   100   14.8   14.5   14.3   -0.2   47.8   47.6   13.8   14.7   15.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100   16.6   16.5   18.6    0.1   52.7   53.2   15.9   16.4   17.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    80    20   100   10.7   10.3   12.7   -0.4   43.7   43.6    9.0   10.5   11.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    81    19   100   16.1   15.7   17.5   -0.2   48.1   48.0   15.1   15.8   16.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100   16.2   16.2   18.3    0.3   59.6   57.1   15.3   16.1   16.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    81    19   100   16.0   15.9   18.2    0.0   51.9   52.2   15.0   15.7   16.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    81    19   100   16.8   16.7   16.3   -0.1   50.0   49.5   15.9   16.7   17.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100   16.3   16.0   16.9   -0.1   47.0   48.7   15.2   16.1   17.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    80    20   100   15.1   14.7   14.9   -0.5   41.2   40.6   14.5   14.9   15.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    81    19   100   16.3   15.8   17.7   -0.1   46.4   49.4   15.2   15.9   17.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    82    18   100   15.1   14.3   16.7   -0.7   41.2   39.6   14.0   14.9   15.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    81    19   100   13.8   13.4   13.8   -0.2   47.8   47.5   12.3   13.5   14.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    80    20   100   16.7   16.4   18.7   -0.1   49.5   50.4   15.9   16.4   17.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------