***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.07.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 06.08.2018.-12.08.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    39    61   100   16.6   21.7   13.5  163.8   76.1   62.8    0.3    8.4   13.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    39    61   100   15.2   22.7   12.7  161.5   78.9   62.8    2.1    4.7   13.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    36    64   100   16.8   23.2   13.8  166.2   77.7   64.1    0.9    5.4   16.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   21.7   37.9   15.1  187.6   83.1   71.1    3.1   10.0   18.5   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    32    68   100   15.4   19.5   14.2  173.9   82.0   69.7    0.4    8.6   14.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    28    72   100   20.9   26.0   14.5  160.9   78.5   66.8    2.7    8.4   16.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    53    47     0   100    2.1   17.2   11.4  146.4   74.8   57.9    1.9    4.5   12.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    26    74   100   23.4   26.0   16.5  190.1   79.9   69.0   12.0   17.8   22.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    36    64   100   17.8   25.4   15.4  180.4   80.9   69.0    4.8    9.8   14.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    30    70   100   22.0   26.7   16.9  178.1   79.6   67.7    6.8   14.0   17.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    36    64   100   20.3   25.1   11.3  151.1   78.5   65.8    4.7   12.4   18.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    26    74   100   17.5   20.9   14.1  196.5   82.2   70.6    2.3    9.7   15.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    23    77   100   15.0   21.3   14.8  194.0   81.4   70.3    1.6    5.3    9.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    32    68   100   16.6   22.0   18.5  175.1   81.8   64.7    4.9    9.5   13.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    35    65   100   18.6   34.2   12.9  227.0   85.8   72.2    3.3    7.7   16.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    28    72   100   14.3   16.9   12.9  173.4   80.0   69.8    2.4    8.5   12.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   10.2   20.5   11.9  157.7   77.4   60.0    2.4    7.2   15.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    27    73   100   23.4   28.6   21.0  191.3   82.6   68.3    5.6   10.9   15.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    38    62   100   15.5   23.3   13.4  167.9   80.1   63.0    1.9    4.7   12.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    29    71   100   20.2   24.6   19.9  182.2   81.2   65.4    5.5   10.4   17.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    36    64   100   15.8   21.8   14.3  172.3   80.0   67.4    5.7    8.6   13.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   11.3   21.7   14.9  180.1   82.0   61.3    3.6    8.8   14.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100    8.4   17.7   13.8  165.8   80.1   62.9    1.9    5.9   13.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    32    68   100   29.7   40.8   18.1  174.3   80.6   67.6    5.1   12.9   20.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    31    69   100   18.4   24.0   16.2  183.3   81.7   69.8    2.5    8.8   15.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    30    70   100   15.6   22.2   13.4  206.7   84.6   71.9    2.2    7.4   10.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    35    65   100   15.3   20.2   15.0  170.3   78.6   65.5    3.2    6.7   11.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    34    66   100   14.6   24.6   13.9  200.3   83.7   69.9    0.8    4.4    9.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    30    70   100   25.0   32.3   21.3  182.9   81.6   68.1    7.3   17.5   24.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100    7.0   11.7   12.6  155.0   77.0   61.7    2.2    5.6    8.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------