***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 16.07.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 10.08.2020.-16.08.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100    1.3   12.0    7.7  100.6   70.8   50.4    1.0    2.8   10.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    61    39     0   100    1.1   12.5    7.6  106.4   71.3   46.6    0.6    2.8    9.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00    53    47     0   100    1.9   18.5    7.4   93.8   71.0   48.6    0.9    3.9   13.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    54    46     0   100    1.9   17.7    8.8  138.7   78.0   52.9    0.8    4.2   10.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    52    48     0   100    1.2   11.9    8.4  134.6   75.9   53.2    0.8    2.6    9.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    3.2   24.7   11.7  146.5   75.5   48.8    1.9    6.6   13.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    53    47     0   100    1.3   13.6    8.5  107.6   72.4   48.2    0.8    2.8   10.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100    3.9   15.1    8.7  111.4   67.4   47.8    4.4    7.5   15.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100    9.1   14.0    8.7  118.8   71.5   52.8    0.8    6.9   12.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    4.7   15.3    9.6  110.0   68.3   48.8    2.4   10.0   15.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100    1.9   14.0    7.2  134.8   74.9   52.6    0.8    4.2    7.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    57    43     0   100    1.3   11.7    7.4  138.0   75.0   51.1    0.3    3.1    6.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    55    45     0   100    1.9    8.7    9.6  161.8   78.0   49.7    0.9    4.3    5.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    60    40     0   100    5.0   17.4   11.9  110.3   71.4   46.2    5.4   11.9   16.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    53    47     0   100    1.1   15.4    8.6  170.0   83.8   50.5    0.6    2.3    7.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100    1.1    9.3    8.4  155.8   79.2   50.2    0.5    2.7    5.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01    60    40     0   100    1.5    7.6    8.3  105.2   71.6   44.4    1.8    3.7    6.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    4.2   11.0   11.6  104.4   65.0   47.3    2.0    7.2   11.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    58    42     0   100    1.3   14.9    7.5  104.1   71.3   45.9    1.9    3.2   10.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100    3.0    7.9   10.9   94.2   61.4   46.7    4.0    4.8    9.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    51    49     0   100    3.8   19.0    8.6  120.3   73.2   53.4    0.9    7.8   11.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    57    43     0   100    1.8   11.2    9.0  113.7   72.2   48.4    1.6    4.1   11.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    53    47     0   100    1.9   13.2    7.8  101.0   72.2   45.6    1.0    4.1   12.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    53    47     0   100    5.3   13.8   10.8  105.9   68.3   48.1    3.8   10.7   12.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    54    46     0   100    3.9   20.0   10.0  133.6   76.9   52.0    2.9    8.4   12.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    53    47     0   100    2.2   16.9    8.5  162.9   79.6   50.6    0.3    4.8    8.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100    2.4   11.7    9.1  113.9   73.7   51.0    1.5    5.4   10.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    56    44     0   100    1.6   13.5    8.9  158.6   80.9   50.9    1.2    3.6    5.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    4.9   13.7   12.5  105.3   65.4   47.5    4.6    8.4   13.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    55    45     0   100    1.5    9.0    7.5  101.3   71.5   47.3    1.4    3.2    5.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------