***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 16.07.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 20.07.2015.-16.08.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     7    93   100   16.7   17.7   21.7    2.5   98.3   92.1   15.5   15.9   16.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    15    85   100   16.7   17.5   21.5    2.1   93.9   87.2   15.2   15.8   16.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    18    82   100   18.7   19.8   21.4    2.1   95.1   87.6   17.7   18.0   18.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    20    80   100   14.4   15.2   18.8    1.6   92.2   84.1   13.1   13.5   14.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    16    84   100   15.0   16.0   18.6    1.7   93.3   85.2   14.0   14.5   14.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    18    82   100   13.8   14.7   16.3    1.5   92.9   84.3   12.9   13.2   13.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     9    91   100   16.8   17.7   21.8    2.3   96.2   89.8   15.6   16.2   16.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0     7    93   100    9.6   10.9   16.8    2.0   97.2   91.8    8.8    9.1    9.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0     7    93   100   16.3   17.2   19.2    2.1   97.1   90.4   15.3   15.5   16.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0     9    91   100   16.1   16.9   17.5    1.9   97.2   90.6   15.3   15.5   15.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    15    85   100   15.8   16.7   18.1    1.7   95.5   86.8   14.7   15.3   15.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0     8    92   100   14.0   14.9   17.8    1.9   97.0   91.4   12.8   13.3   13.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    19    81   100   14.9   15.9   16.6    1.4   92.7   84.5   14.1   14.5   14.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    21    79   100   16.8   17.4   19.0    1.8   94.5   85.9   15.7   16.3   16.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     9    91   100   17.4   18.9   20.2    2.0   96.9   90.1   16.3   16.7   17.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    20    80   100   16.4   17.1   17.5    1.4   91.4   82.2   15.6   16.0   16.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    14    86   100   17.2   17.7   20.6    1.8   91.0   84.0   16.1   16.6   17.0   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    13    87   100   14.7   15.6   16.7    1.8   96.1   88.7   13.1   14.0   14.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    16    84   100   16.5   17.4   21.5    2.1   94.3   87.4   15.4   15.7   16.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    14    86   100   10.5   11.3   14.5    1.5   95.3   86.3    9.5   10.0   10.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    11    89   100   16.1   16.9   20.7    2.1   96.6   89.7   15.1   15.4   15.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    17    83   100   16.1   16.5   20.6    1.7   87.2   82.8   15.0   15.4   15.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    13    87   100   15.9   16.6   21.2    2.3   96.0   89.3   14.9   15.2   15.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    15    85   100   16.6   17.2   18.9    1.9   95.9   88.0   15.6   16.2   16.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0     8    92   100   16.2   17.3   20.1    2.3   98.1   92.3   14.8   15.8   16.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0     9    91   100   14.9   16.1   16.8    1.5   94.3   87.7   14.3   14.6   14.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     5    95   100   16.6   17.8   20.9    2.5   98.8   93.4   15.3   15.9   16.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    20    80   100   15.0   16.0   19.2    1.6   92.5   83.9   14.0   14.4   14.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    12    88   100   13.7   14.8   16.0    1.8   96.0   88.8   12.9   13.1   13.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    13    87   100   16.9   17.7   21.9    2.3   95.5   88.8   15.6   16.2   16.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------