***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 07.07.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.07.2016.-07.08.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    83    17   100   15.9   16.0   19.3    0.1   52.2   53.8   15.5   15.8   16.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    84    16   100   16.0   16.2   19.2    0.4   61.9   62.3   14.8   15.9   16.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    83    17   100   18.0   18.1   19.6    0.2   56.9   57.1   17.1   17.9   18.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100   13.6   14.1   17.3    0.4   68.3   62.7   12.8   13.4   14.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    82    18   100   14.5   14.7   17.6    0.4   67.2   64.1   14.0   14.4   14.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    41    59   100   13.5   13.6   15.4    0.5   71.6   66.1   12.8   13.0   13.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    84    16   100   16.2   16.2   19.2    0.1   55.9   54.2   15.4   16.0   16.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    36    64   100    9.2    9.4   15.4    0.7   75.6   69.7    8.5    8.8    9.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    81    19   100   15.6   15.9   17.6    0.4   65.4   63.7   15.2   15.5   15.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    41    59   100   15.9   15.8   16.1    0.5   69.5   66.3   14.9   15.4   15.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    37    63   100   15.7   15.8   17.4    0.6   73.4   68.5   14.7   15.1   15.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    28    72   100   13.8   14.0   16.4    0.7   78.1   71.2   12.8   13.2   13.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    43    57   100   14.8   14.8   15.6    0.4   67.9   62.3   13.9   14.3   14.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    38    62   100   16.6   16.9   17.6    0.6   72.3   66.3   15.5   16.0   16.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    81    19   100   17.0   17.0   19.0    0.5   65.3   63.5   16.3   16.9   17.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    41    59   100   16.2   16.3   16.7    0.6   72.2   66.6   15.2   15.9   16.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    85    15   100   16.6   17.1   19.2    0.6   67.2   66.6   16.0   16.4   17.0   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    41    59   100   14.3   14.5   15.4    0.5   68.9   64.8   13.0   13.7   14.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    42    58   100   16.3   16.4   19.4    0.6   69.1   66.3   15.3   15.7   16.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    35    65   100   10.2   10.4   13.2    0.6   73.0   68.9    9.3    9.7   10.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   15.5   15.5   18.8    0.1   55.8   55.2   15.0   15.4   15.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    39    61   100   16.0   16.3   19.4    0.8   75.0   69.5   14.9   15.4   16.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    28    72   100   16.0   16.3   19.7    0.9   79.6   73.0   14.7   15.3   15.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    42    58   100   16.4   16.6   17.5    0.5   69.8   64.7   15.1   15.8   16.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100   15.7   15.7   18.2    0.2   58.7   58.0   14.9   15.5   15.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    34    66   100   14.7   14.6   15.2    0.5   70.3   63.4   13.9   14.3   14.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    81    19   100   15.8   15.7   18.6    0.1   54.6   55.1   14.8   15.6   16.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    80    20   100   14.6   15.0   17.9    0.5   70.5   65.2   14.0   14.5   14.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    42    58   100   13.4   13.6   14.7    0.5   68.6   64.8   12.5   13.0   13.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    84    16   100   16.2   16.4   19.3    0.2   57.1   57.1   15.5   16.1   16.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------