***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.06.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 23.07.2012.-29.07.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    62    38     0   100 9999.0    0.0    3.7   45.8   61.4   40.0 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    65    35     0   100    1.5    5.2    4.3   49.5   55.6   38.1    1.0    4.3    9.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00    69    31     0   100    1.4   13.3    4.0   49.7   61.2   40.1    0.5    4.5   15.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    62    38     0   100    2.1   28.3    5.3   82.1   74.1   48.7    1.1    5.4   20.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    60    40     0   100    1.4   14.8    4.8   73.4   71.8   46.9    0.3    3.5   11.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    57    43     0   100    3.0   23.3    8.0  109.6   77.0   52.3    0.7    7.0   16.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    59    41     0   100    2.9   10.9    4.6   50.9   59.4   39.7    1.7    7.0   13.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    56    44     0   100    5.1   22.4    5.4   86.9   69.1   46.6    3.0   10.5   21.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    59    41     0   100    0.7   12.2    4.5   63.6   65.3   45.3    0.2    1.7   12.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    59    41     0   100    2.7   15.1    5.4   70.5   64.4   44.7    0.6    6.7   18.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    61    39     0   100    1.1   24.5    3.9   72.0   70.9   46.2    0.6    2.8   18.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    54    46     0   100    0.9   20.8    4.1   95.6   74.2   48.0    0.0    2.0   14.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    6.4   17.1    5.5  108.2   77.2   51.6    0.4    2.8   11.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    62    38     0   100    3.8   11.9    6.0   66.9   56.6   41.5    1.9    9.9   17.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    56    44     0   100    2.8   13.7    4.9   86.1   78.6   52.0    0.8    6.4    8.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    56    44     0   100    1.1   11.1    5.1   98.1   75.3   50.6    0.3    2.5    8.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01    60    40     0   100    3.6    8.3    4.4   51.9   55.7   36.9    2.8    7.2   17.3   29   Palic                         
37000G16    63    37     0   100    2.2    9.5    7.1   76.3   61.9   44.1    2.3    6.1   20.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    67    33     0   100    2.4    9.5    4.3   52.0   56.4   38.5    1.9    7.4   14.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    57    43     0   100    3.8   14.3    8.5   97.2   66.2   47.7    3.4    8.3   13.9   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    61    39     0   100    3.4   14.4    3.7   56.1   66.3   43.9    0.5    8.6   14.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    59    41     0   100    3.1   13.2    4.4   54.2   54.3   36.4    3.9    7.0   20.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    64    36     0   100    1.8   11.7    4.7   58.6   59.8   40.7    1.4    4.9   12.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    66    34     0   100    3.7   12.1    5.7   64.7   59.4   42.3    1.2   10.4   17.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    65    35     0   100    2.7   19.5    5.1   61.8   70.0   44.3    0.1    7.6   17.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100   10.2   22.5    4.4  123.7   76.5   53.6    1.6    6.1   12.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    62    38     0   100    1.7    8.0    4.9   53.2   63.1   42.3    1.8    4.5   10.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    59    41     0   100    2.3   26.2    5.4   93.7   76.5   51.8    2.2    5.6   14.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    61    39     0   100    5.9   23.1    7.4   79.9   62.5   44.2    8.8   14.6   28.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    64    36     0   100    1.9    7.1    4.2   48.1   57.8   38.8    3.2    5.3   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------