***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 27.06.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 08.07.2013.-14.07.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    57    43     0   100 9999.0    0.0   12.6  128.4   71.7   51.2 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100    3.9   16.3   14.0  139.9   76.7   52.1    3.4    7.3   13.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    75    25   100    8.6   10.7   12.8  133.7   72.4   55.0    4.4    6.5    8.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100   17.2   24.5   13.0  139.8   70.5   54.2    2.8   12.3   22.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   11.1   15.5   12.9  133.1   71.2   53.8    3.9    8.6   14.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    81    19   100   11.0   17.4   15.1  103.9   66.6   55.6    4.5    8.6   17.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    57    43     0   100    2.1   12.1   13.9  129.3   75.5   51.4    2.4    4.3    7.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    80    20   100   26.6   37.7   14.5  130.7   72.3   58.1   18.8   22.0   34.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100    8.3   15.1   13.6  129.9   73.9   54.0    2.7    4.6    8.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   20.5   34.6   15.5  132.7   73.1   56.5    7.7   14.8   20.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100   10.3   17.9   11.2  127.6   70.9   54.7    2.8    7.4   14.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    82    18   100   16.8   28.0   10.7  123.5   72.0   58.0    6.6   13.7   19.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    81    19   100    9.4   16.5   11.6  107.8   70.4   56.5    3.2    6.9   15.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    52    48     0   100    6.4   23.9   14.5  110.8   66.5   52.3    5.5   12.1   23.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100    2.3    8.7   11.4  142.8   73.8   53.4    1.0    4.6    6.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    81    19   100   14.2   18.1   11.7  119.8   71.9   55.7    5.2   13.0   17.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01    56    44     0   100    2.6   14.1   12.9  132.2   75.0   52.2    3.0    3.8   13.0   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100   20.2   28.1   18.2  127.7   70.2   56.5    8.4   17.5   25.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    54    46     0   100    4.3   15.8   13.3  136.7   74.1   52.0    5.3    7.2   10.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    81    19   100   17.5   23.0   18.1  120.9   68.7   57.7    7.2   15.1   22.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    51    49     0   100    4.3   13.0   12.0  129.7   72.1   53.9    3.5    8.7   11.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    56    44     0   100    4.7   14.1   11.9  120.3   70.6   51.1    5.4    9.1   12.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    55    45     0   100    4.0   18.7   12.4  123.7   70.0   51.8    3.9    8.8   17.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100   14.6   20.1   15.6  125.1   69.4   55.9    5.8   12.6   18.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    51    49     0   100    3.4   11.2   14.6  129.5   67.7   52.6    3.4    6.7   10.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    81    19   100    8.8   12.5    8.3   95.6   69.3   55.0    3.9    7.4   11.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    57    43     0   100    3.1   17.5   14.5  123.0   69.2   51.5    3.1    6.1   15.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100    8.9   10.6   11.8  134.9   71.3   52.7    1.5    5.8    9.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    78    22   100   22.7   31.1   17.9  121.8   68.5   56.2   14.3   18.5   30.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    54    46     0   100    4.2   14.0   14.0  136.3   74.6   52.2    3.6    7.9   12.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------