***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 20.06.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 24.06.2013.-21.07.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    27    73   100 9999.0    0.0   75.6  178.1   84.9   77.9 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    30    70   100   65.8   91.4   70.3  158.8   84.9   73.8   37.8   44.7   51.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    26    74   100   74.1   86.4   68.6  163.7   81.7   76.5   35.5   41.9   69.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   73.8   83.8   68.0  156.9   78.2   72.6   33.4   52.7   68.5   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    29    71   100   62.3   68.9   67.8  156.5   77.5   72.8   38.1   43.7   52.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    84    16   100   41.3   55.4   73.4  124.5   68.1   63.4   32.7   37.2   53.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    28    72   100   69.0   81.1   74.4  164.3   82.7   74.4   32.8   45.2   58.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    39    61   100   96.9  107.3   66.6  136.8   75.2   67.5   62.5   72.5   84.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    34    66   100   58.8   68.4   68.6  153.6   79.0   72.8   33.5   40.8   59.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    31    69   100   87.6  101.1   74.4  145.1   78.3   71.3   50.5   59.1   80.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    38    62   100   56.4   64.9   57.6  142.6   76.6   68.8   24.2   36.5   55.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    83    17   100   49.0   72.0   51.6  132.2   71.8   64.8   35.5   43.6   66.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    84    16   100   33.1   42.0   58.3  125.8   67.5   63.1   20.1   29.2   40.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    31    69   100   89.2  105.0   79.2  149.8   83.0   75.3   52.6   70.4   86.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    37    63   100   51.8   58.0   56.8  145.7   77.4   69.1   20.6   38.3   48.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    84    16   100   37.9   45.1   57.1  129.8   72.1   64.4   26.7   35.7   43.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    25    75   100   59.2   67.9   70.2  154.4   82.8   71.9   30.4   36.8   58.6   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    28    72   100   80.8   91.1   86.2  144.9   78.6   72.7   41.7   56.7   72.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    31    69   100   75.4  104.9   68.4  157.8   85.0   74.5   33.4   42.4   75.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    38    62   100   67.0   69.5   83.5  136.6   76.6   69.2   52.2   62.1   67.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    27    73   100   68.5   82.1   66.0  163.4   79.4   74.5   31.8   41.7   62.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    32    68   100   64.9   91.6   67.7  149.6   84.0   72.0   36.3   48.0   55.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    33    67   100   67.1   84.6   67.9  157.3   85.1   75.9   40.0   52.3   68.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    23    77   100   95.9  117.2   77.8  150.8   79.9   75.3   46.0   65.3   77.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    22    78   100   78.0   94.5   82.9  173.5   83.3   77.1   30.7   41.6   76.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    84    16   100   31.2   42.2   49.1  130.7   69.0   64.1   20.3   27.5   40.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    23    77   100   82.7   98.4   86.1  176.0   85.0   77.9   41.8   50.2   65.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100   48.3   53.9   58.8  141.3   76.8   68.2   22.9   32.9   43.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    31    69   100   98.4  110.4   85.7  141.0   78.5   71.5   58.4   72.9   92.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    28    72   100   73.2  107.8   71.9  165.1   84.2   75.6   39.2   43.4   72.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------