***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.06.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.07.2014.-13.07.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    56    44     0   100    1.5   17.7    9.2  153.2   77.7   55.4    1.1    3.3   13.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    51    49     0   100    3.4   14.3    8.3  123.8   73.8   54.1    2.3    6.2    9.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00    54    46     0   100    2.9   17.1    8.7  140.3   77.9   53.1    4.1    6.2   11.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    75    25   100   19.1   32.7    9.4  126.5   78.2   53.2    3.1   14.6   21.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   13.3   24.2    9.8  132.4   79.2   53.5    5.2   10.4   16.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100   13.1   28.5   15.1  177.9   81.6   60.9    4.9    9.4   17.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    75    25   100    6.8   11.8    8.9  123.7   74.8   53.4    1.8    4.3   10.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100   28.1   39.6   12.3  135.2   75.7   55.5   18.1   23.6   35.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    75    25   100   11.9   24.1   10.2  134.0   78.5   51.6    5.0    7.9   14.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   19.0   32.4   13.0  132.3   76.4   52.7    8.8   14.5   29.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    5.5   18.2    8.9  131.6   76.3   53.3    4.4   11.1   14.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    77    23   100   14.0   23.9    8.4  135.1   77.7   57.5    6.2   10.9   17.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100   12.0   30.3   10.8  168.2   82.8   61.4    4.4    8.8   16.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    76    24   100   19.4   27.5   11.2  116.0   71.1   54.3    5.9   14.6   22.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100    5.7    9.6    8.2  132.3   78.9   56.7    1.2    4.6    5.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   15.3   23.1    9.7  154.4   78.6   58.1    5.5   13.1   18.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100    6.1   13.6    8.4  115.8   73.8   53.2    2.2    3.7    6.7   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100   21.0   32.8   16.1  137.7   74.0   54.2    8.5   16.5   28.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   12.5   24.5    7.8  123.7   74.9   53.9    3.6    8.1   14.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    82    18   100   20.3   27.8   18.2  152.2   75.5   58.9    7.8   18.0   22.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    54    46     0   100    2.9   21.9    8.8  141.1   78.5   52.8    4.7    6.2   13.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   11.3   14.5    8.3  115.5   74.1   53.9    5.2    8.9   11.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   11.0   22.1    7.7  120.7   75.5   53.1    3.1    7.4   18.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    52    48     0   100    5.3   22.0   12.1  127.6   72.3   53.4    6.1   10.0   18.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100    8.5   18.7   11.7  148.8   75.7   56.9    2.7    5.3   10.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100    9.7   22.8    8.7  196.2   85.0   60.6    3.8    7.5   11.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    53    47     0   100    2.5   27.0   11.5  150.6   76.8   56.6    2.4    5.4   16.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    77    23   100   11.2   22.3    8.6  127.5   77.9   55.2    2.9    7.8   11.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    78    22   100   24.1   37.2   16.4  140.5   73.9   55.4   17.6   20.1   32.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    54    46     0   100    3.0   17.7    8.5  130.5   76.3   53.4    2.2    6.3   11.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------