***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 14.06.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 18.06.2018.-15.07.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100   55.4   50.4   55.3   94.2   52.6   49.4   36.3   49.3   63.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    79    21   100   54.0   48.8   45.3   88.4   51.1   47.6   39.3   48.8   63.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    83    17   100   54.2   53.6   54.6   96.0   55.2   49.4   38.5   47.5   66.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    83    17   100   59.8   55.3   50.9   97.3   55.5   52.1   38.5   51.8   79.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    82    18   100   58.0   55.1   52.8   98.4   57.2   52.5   39.1   52.4   61.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    80    20   100   50.5   47.5   56.9   93.0   50.4   47.8   39.2   47.1   53.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   58.9   54.0   46.2   89.1   52.8   47.5   41.7   50.8   64.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    81    19   100   84.8   79.8   63.1  102.5   58.4   53.5   69.3   72.3  113.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    86    14   100   52.2   51.7   59.0  100.9   58.3   53.5   35.8   47.7   54.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    83    17   100   80.5   81.8   66.8   99.6   57.1   52.3   55.9   75.6   87.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100   50.2   47.0   48.4   92.6   55.5   48.9   32.7   41.4   63.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    82    18   100   58.4   55.4   49.8  100.0   57.7   52.4   37.5   53.8   61.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    87    13   100   45.2   43.7   50.6   95.2   54.3   50.8   27.6   42.5   47.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    80    20   100   84.9   88.2   73.6  101.9   58.7   53.0   57.9   79.6   95.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    82    18   100   45.1   43.1   38.1   86.8   52.5   47.9   17.3   39.5   50.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    85    15   100   48.6   47.6   49.7   99.6   57.5   52.2   31.4   46.3   51.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100   59.9   54.5   42.3   86.2   51.8   46.6   35.7   53.5   72.3   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    85    15   100   68.4   70.3   81.1  109.4   59.5   56.7   46.5   62.5   75.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100   65.6   60.0   46.9   89.2   51.1   47.2   39.0   57.9   71.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    84    16   100   66.6   71.1   74.9  104.4   60.0   54.3   49.9   64.0   71.9   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    83    17   100   51.7   54.7   55.3   95.8   55.1   50.8   36.5   43.9   65.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100   59.0   50.5   42.8   85.6   52.3   46.0   36.5   48.1   73.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    82    18   100   66.0   63.2   52.4   93.6   52.8   48.4   47.1   62.3   70.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    83    17   100   81.7   83.4   71.7  105.9   58.9   54.8   59.4   75.8   86.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100   59.3   53.5   56.9   89.4   50.8   48.2   36.9   53.1   71.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100   45.1   42.6   39.5   92.0   53.4   48.6   30.9   40.7   51.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    80    20   100   63.0   58.3   58.4   91.0   51.5   48.4   44.2   56.3   78.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    82    18   100   42.0   38.6   45.6   94.1   55.0   50.7   22.5   36.6   46.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    82    18   100   90.2  104.7   83.0  110.4   61.2   56.9   63.5   81.5  108.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100   64.8   62.3   48.3   90.6   52.4   47.9   49.1   59.6   71.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------